Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS01 KWNS 240052
SWODY1
SPC AC 240050

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Valid 240100Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST TEXAS...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and
gusts to 65 mph will be possible for a few more hours this evening
across across northwest Texas.

...TX...

Severe probabilities have been removed from southwest TX as storms
across that area have weakened and dissipated. The severe
probabilities over northwest TX have been trimmed (and removed from
southwest OK), and are mostly in line with Severe Thunderstorm Watch
132. A recently severe-warned cell near Fisher and Nolan Counties
will continue to develop southeast over the next couple hours,
posing a risk for large hail and strong gusts before dissipating as
the boundary layer stabilizes with loss of daytime heating.
Additional convection has been modestly deepening near the cold
front/dryline intersection in the vicinity of Garza County. This
activity may briefly become strong over the next 1-2 hours before
also weakening.

The Marginal (level 1 of 2) and Slight (level 2 of 5) risks have
been nudged southward a bit to account for storm motion.

...Great Lakes...

Severe probabilities have been removed given very weak instability
and a stabilizing boundary layer. A strong storm may persist in the
short term, producing locally gusty winds or small hail, before
weakening with time and eastward extent over the next hour or so.

..Leitman.. 04/24/2024

$$


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