Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 291111
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
611 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.UPDATE...
For 12Z Aviation.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

No real changes are expected with this forecast package, as the
flow tries to turn a bit more northwest today bringing some
limited drier air to the state. The extent of the drying further
east will be in question due to the tropical system along the East
Coast, so any remnant moisture convergence should be across the
eastern sections of the CWA. Left a slight chance of a
thunderstorm or two east of I65, however, coverage is expected to
be minimal.

As the week continues, showers and thunderstorms will be mainly
driven with the typical summer afternoon diurnal pattern,
although with the upper level ridging building back overhead,
coverage will remain only isolated to scattered. Later in the
work week, that pattern looks to relax as a remnant cold front
tries to move in from the northwest, which would increase rain
chances starting on Thursday or Friday. This appears to be the
next possibility to a more widespread rain event for much of the
south.

17/klaws


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF Discussion.

Overall VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours. There
is a slight chance at seeing an isolated shower/storm this
afternoon but chances remain at 20 or less so will not include in
the taf. A little bit more moisture will be in place tonight so
added in some MVFR fog at the end of the forecast for the eastern
sites.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Look for only low to minimal rain chances for the remainder of the
weekend into the first half of this week. Temperatures are
expected to remain above normal through much of the week. There
are no fire weather concerns at this time.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     88  64  89  64  89 /  20  10  20  10  20
Anniston    88  66  88  66  89 /  20  10  20  10  20
Birmingham  89  69  90  68  91 /  20  10  20  10  20
Tuscaloosa  90  68  91  69  91 /  20  10  20  10  20
Calera      88  68  90  68  91 /  20  10  20  10  20
Auburn      87  68  88  68  90 /  20  10  20  10  20
Montgomery  90  69  92  68  93 /  20  10  20  10  20
Troy        90  68  92  69  93 /  20  10  20  10  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$



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