Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 061601 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1101 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO LOUISIANA TODAY
WITH LOTS OF SUN ACROSS ALABAMA AND ONLY A FEW CLOUDS IN THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES. WINDS ARE STILL A LITTLE BREEZY BUT NOT AS
HIGH AS YESTERDAY. MAIN CHANGE TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING WAS TO
RAISE HIGHS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST (SOUTH OF I-85 GENERALLY) A
COUPLE OF DEGREES AS WE ARE TRENDING THERE A LITTLE WARMER THAN
LATEST GUIDANCE.

08

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT. A SCT CU FIELD AT 7 KFT WILL ALSO DEVELOP
THROUGH THE DAY ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS BUT NOT AS STRONG AS
THURSDAY. WINDS CALM BACK DOWN TO 7 KTS OR LESS AFTER 3Z.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND NO FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 307 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2016/
SHORT TERM...
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

UPPER LOW REMAINS JUST TO OUR EAST OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
THIS MORNING. ANOTHER WAVE OF ENERGY WILL SLIDE AROUND THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THE LOW AND WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SOME WIND TO THE
AREA ONCE AGAIN...ESPECIALLY THE NORTHEAST. THE GRADIENT WILL NOT
BE AS STRONG AS THURSDAY SO A WIND ADVISORY IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT COOL THIS MORNING BUT WILL
REBOUND NICELY IN THE UPPER 60S IN THE NORTHEAST TO MID 70S IN THE
SOUTHWEST. FAIRLY CLEAR SKIES AGAIN TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR
TEMPERATURES TO DROP ONCE AGAIN...BUT NOT AS COOL. WE WILL ALSO
WATCH ANOTHER WAVE OF ENERGY SLIDE OUR WAY FROM THE NORTH AND MAY
PRODUCE SOME CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH BY SUNRISE AND WOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING AS MUCH AS THEY COULD.

16

LONG TERM...
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND WITH DRY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SATURDAY TRANSITIONING TO WESTERLY ON
SUNDAY AS A RIDGE MOVES INTO THE REGION. AS A TROUGH SWINGS INTO
THE PLAINS...LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY
AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL JET WILL DRAW MOISTURE NORTHWARD FROM
THE GULF. ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT MAY MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA
ON TUESDAY FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS...THOUGH THE
STRONGEST FORCING SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR NORTH ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY. THIS SAME TYPE OF ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY WITH WARM AND MOIST CONDITIONS REMAINING IN PLACE.
POPS FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY GENERALLY RANGE FROM 20 PERCENT
SOUTH TO 40 PERCENT NORTH.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     73  45  82  55  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    72  49  81  57  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  73  53  82  58  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  76  51  82  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      74  52  82  58  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      73  53  80  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  77  53  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        76  51  82  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

08/16/87


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