Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 062058
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
358 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER SATURDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL BUILD TOWARD
THE REGION SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER WEAK LOW ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
CLDNSS HAS BEEN DELAYED IN ARRIVING FROM QB PROV...SO WE TM
SHIFTED INCREASING CLDNSS TNGT BACK BY 6 HRS TO MATCH CURRENT MCLR
CONDITIONS OVR THE FA. OTHERWISE...MOST OF THE CLDNSS WITH THE
FIRST S/WV WILL ARRIVE TO MSLY NRN PTNS OF THE FA LATE TNGT...WITH
SCT SN SHWRS MSLY AFFECTING THE FAR NW BY DAYBREAK SAT. WITH THE
FIRST S/WV WEAKENING AS IT CROSSES THE FA SAT...ANY REMAINING SN
SHWRS WILL BE MSLY ISOLD ON SAT MORN ACROSS THE N...WITH WEAK
DOWNSLOPING REDUCING AND SN TO FLURRIES OVR CNTRL AND DOWNEAST
AREAS.

AFT A BREAK BETWEEN S/WVS SAT AFTN AND ERLY EVE...A SECOND
SLIGHTLY STRONGER S/WV WILL BE A LITTLE MORE GENEROUS WITH SN SHWR
CVRG OVRNGT SAT. BETWEEN BOTH SYSTEMS ONLY A FEW LCTNS ACROSS NW
ME WILL RECEIVE ARND AN INCH WITH MOST OTHER LCTNS OVR THE N
RECEIVING LESS AND CNTRL/DOWNEAST AREAS A TRACE.

LOW TEMPS OVRNGT WILL BE TRICKY AND WILL DEPEND HOW LONG SKIES
REMAIN CLR INTO THE OVRNGT...WITH A LATER ARRIVAL OF CLDNSS
MEANING THAT ACTUAL LOWS TNGT COULD FALL SIG BLO THE CURRENT FCST.
IN ANY EVENT...WITH TEMPS THIS AFTN ABOUT 10 DEG F WARMER THAN
YSTDY ATTM...A BIT MORE SW BREEZE AND THE POTENTIAL OF MORE CLD
CVR BY LATE TNGT SHOULD GREATLY MITIGATE TEMPS FROM REACHING LOWS
LIKE LAST NGT. OTHERWISE...WITH SOME SUNSHINE XPCTD ON SAT SPCLY
DURING THE AFTN...THE WARMING TREND FOR HI TEMPS SHOULD CONT WITH
MOST OF THE FA REACHING WELL INTO THE 20S AND EVEN ARND 30 OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS. MORE CLDNSS AND EVEN MILDER 925-850 MB TEMPS SAT
NGT WILL TRANSLATE TO EVEN MILDER OVRNGT LOWS SAT NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION SUNDAY AND THEN MOVE
EAST SUNDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH PERHAPS AN ISOLATED SNOW SHOWER
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS. A SHORT WAVE TROF WILL CROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION WITH A
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS.
TEMPERATURES BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE A BIT BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH EASTERN CANADA MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
NORTH WITH THE CHANCE FOR A SNOW SHOWER NORTH AND PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DOWN EAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AND THEN RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL LEVELS BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MAINLY VFR...WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE IN SCT
SN SHWRS SAT AND SAT NGT MAINLY FROM KHUL NWRD.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD
ALTHOUGH BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SCT SNOW SHOWERS
MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: NO HDLNS XPCTD THIS PD...WITH ONLY LGT FZGSPY TNGT INTO
SAT MORN. KEPT CLOSE TO 1 FT ABV WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS
THIS UPDATE.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH MOST
OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...VJN/DUDA
MARINE...VJN/DUDA


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