Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 250401
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1201 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY...THEN
MOVE EAST SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST ACROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPDATE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST TOWARD THE
REGION OVERNIGHT. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED. LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S NORTH AND MID 50S DOWNEAST.
CURRENT FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE SO NO BIG CHANGES NEEDED TO THE
REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST.

FRIDAY WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN
MAINE WITH THE CHANCE OF A SHOWER...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE. INSTABILITY IS ONLY MARGINAL SO
ALTHOUGH A VERY ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORM COULD DEVELOP WILL NOT
MENTION ANY STORMS. TEMPS WILL BE SEASONABLE WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN
THE M/U 70S ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE TO THE LOW 80S INTERIOR
DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
DOWNEAST FRIDAY NIGHT. PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...THOUGH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE COULD
BRING THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON SHOWER. LOW PRESSURE WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST SATURDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO CROSS THE REGION
SUNDAY WITH MORE EXTENSIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A STEADIER RAIN.
HOWEVER...THE COVERAGE AND TIMING OF PRECIPITATION IS STILL
UNCERTAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL...LEVELS SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE EAST WILL BRING A SERIES OF
SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ACROSS THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A
MODERATION IN TEMPS DURING THE MID WEEK. SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AS ONE WEAK LOW MOVES AWAY
AND ANOTHER APPROACHES ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
ALONG THE STALLED FRONT. DRIER AIR MAY THEN FILTER INTO THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BRINGING WARMER TEMPS. THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH TO OUR WEST MAY PRODUCE A SHOWER OR THUNDERSHOWERS LATE
WEDNESDAY, ESPECIALLY IN WESTERN SPOTS. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY SHOULD
THEN BE PARTLY SUNNY, WARMER AND MORE HUMID AS THE UPPER TROUGH
LIFTS AWAY AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST PUSHES WARMER AIR
INTO THE STATE. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THERE
COULD BE SOME PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG AT KPQI...KHUL...OR KBHB.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. CONDITIONS WILL THEN LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER SUNDAY NIGHT WITH POSSIBLE MVFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FAR NORTH. MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
IN LOWER CLOUDS AND SHOWERS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: THE WIND AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH
FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVEL SEAS ARE THEN POSSIBLE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS AND FOG LATER SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...CB/DUDA/NORCROSS
MARINE...CB/DUDA/NORCROSS







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