Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 221834
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
134 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
KBYX detects scattered showers throughout the forecast area. Skies
over the island chain are mostly cloudy. Winds over land are west
to northwest near 10 mph. C-MAN winds, on average, are west to
northwest at 10 to 15 knots. Temperatures are near 70 degrees.

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Friday night)...
A low pressure system will progress eastward across central
Florida tonight. This low pressure system will stall near the
northern Bahamas Thursday and remain in place Thursday night and
Friday, before it begins to move to the northeast Friday night.
Rain chances in the short term portion of the forecast will be
highest tonight when the aforementioned low pressure system is at
its closest proximity to the Florida Keys.

&&

.LONG TERM (Saturday through Wednesday)...
A trough of low pressure will progress southward down the Florida
peninsula Saturday. This trough of low pressure should pass
through the Florida Keys Saturday night or Sunday. An Atlantic
ridge of high pressure will extend across north central Florida
Sunday night through Wednesday. No more than dime POPs are needed
in the long term portion of the forecast at this time.

&&

.MARINE...
Gentle to moderate west to northwest breezes will prevail tonight.
No advisories expected tonight through at least Sunday. A small
craft advisory may be required for the coastal waters of the
Florida Straits Sunday night. No advisories expected Monday and
Monday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
Until 12z/23rd, expect at least a few sub VFR encounters at the
Key West and Marathon terminals, with brief wind gusts of 25 to
perhaps 30 knots possible in a few heavier cells this afternoon
and tonight. Outside of any cells, winds will turn northwest at 10
to 13 knots, with occasional higher gusts.

&&

.CLIMATE...
On February 22nd, 1966, 2.54 inches of rain fell on Key West and
set the daily record for rainfall. After 51 years, this record may
have a chance of falling this afternoon. Rainfall records for Key
West date back to 1871.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  66 76 69 79 / 50 30 - -
Marathon  66 78 68 80 / 50 30 - -

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BS
Aviation/Nowcasts....APA
Data Collection......Chesser

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