Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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000
FXUS65 KLKN 312255
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
255 PM PST SAT JAN 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MORE DRY AND MILD WEATHER TO
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA ON SUNDAY. MILD AND MOIST PACIFIC AIR
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN NEVADA MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV TONIGHT
BRINGING DRY WEATHER THROUGH SUNDAY. HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE SUNDAY AS RIDGE BEGINS TO FLATTEN ALLOWING PACIFIC
MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. A FEW SHOWERS COULD BREAK OUT
SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE FAR NORTH AS THE PACIFIC MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO INCREASE. BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE AS FAR SOUTH AS CENTRAL
LANDER/CENTRAL EUREKA COUNTIES AND THE FAR NRN PORTION OF WHITE
PINE COUNTY. WITH THE MILD AIR SNOW LEVELS WILL BE FAIRLY HIGH,
GENERALLY ABOVE 7000 FEET NORTHERN NV AND 7500 FEET CENTRAL NV.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY NIGHT DIMINISH WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST KICKS THE WEAK SYSTEM INTO UTAH. WELL
ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME
DISAGREEMENT IN THE MODELS FRIDAY ON INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE GFS
IS A LITTLE QUICKER TO BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE AND ALLOW MOISTURE TO
RETURN TO NORTHERN NEVADA FRIDAY...WITH SOME SHOWERS CONTINUING
ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEVADA INTO
SATURDAY. ECMWF HAS THE MOISTURE SPREADING INTO NORTHERN NEVADA
FRIDAY EVENING WITH SHOWERS ENDING FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN DRY ON
SATURDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
MAIN CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WILL BE GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS AT KELY AND KTPH. HIGH CLOUDS MOVE IN FROM NORTHWEST
TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT...THEN THICKEN AND LOWER TO MID-LEVELS ON
SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION MOVES IN ALONG THE NV/ID BORDER SUNDAY EVENING
WHICH MAY BRING LIGHT RAIN TO KWMC AND KEKO EARLY MONDAY.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

91/96/96


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