Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FXUS63 KLMK 301916

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
316 PM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

.SHORT TERM (Now through Tuesday Night)...
Issued at 305 PM EDT Mon May 30 2016

Dry weather will continue through the short term period. Upper level
ridging will continue to build in through Tuesday and then shift
eastward Tuesday night. Dewpoints will rise this evening back into
the lower 60s. However, there should again be dry air mixing down
tomorrow afternoon lowering dewpoints into the upper 50s. Cloud
cover will be a bit higher tomorrow that today, but it should still
be only partly cloudy. Lows tonight and tomorrow night will be in
the 60s with highs on Tuesday in the mid 80s to around 90.

.LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday)...
Issued at 314 PM EDT Mon May 30 2016

For Wednesday through Friday a cold front will slowly approach and
move through the region. The actual frontal passage looks to be on
Thursday. However, it looks to stall over east central KY, arcing
back into central TN through Friday before finally moving out.
Showers and storms will develop in the warm sector ahead of this
front and begin to move into west central KY and southern IN on
Wednesday afternoon. Scattered storms are then expected through
Wednesday night with the highest precipitation coverage on
Thursday into Thursday night. The area of rain will then shift to
south central KY on Friday as the front sinks southeastward.
Precipitation should finally move out by Friday night.

Friday night and Saturday looks to be mostly dry. An upper level
trough will dig across the eastern CONUS through the end of the
weekend with another boundary approaching Sunday and bringing
another chance for showers and storms.

Wednesday will be another hot day with highs in the mid to upper
80s. Thursday through Sunday should be cooler in the wake of the
front. Highs will top out in the upper 70s to lower 80s with lows in
the lower 60s.


.AVIATION (18Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 116 PM EDT Mon May 30 2016

High pressure at the surface and aloft will keep winds light and
variable and cigs/vsbys VFR.  A few clouds around FL060 will be
noted this afternoon due to the diurnal Cu field.  We expect this to
dissipate by 31/00Z with VFR cigs/vsbys and light/variable winds
overnight into Tuesday morning.


.LMK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


Short Term........EER
Long Term.........EER
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