Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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000
FXUS65 KPIH 010832
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
232 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
EXTENSIVE MOISTURE STILL PUSHING INTO SOUTHEAST IDAHO AS UPPER
RIDGE OVERHEAD AND SLOWLY MOVING EAST. EXPECT ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.
MODELS FOCUSING ON CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EAST TO UPPER SNAKE RIVER
HIGHLANDS TO BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR POTENTIAL RAINFALL AND
LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS THROUGH THE ENTIRE SHORT TERM PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN VERY CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES AS WELL.
GK

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
MODELS DIFFER A BIT IN LONG TERM. EUROPEAN DRIVES A CLOSE LOW
THROUGH WESTERN IDAHO MONDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND HAVE
HEAVY RAIN OVER MOST OF SOUTHEAST IDAHO THROUGH THE PERIOD. GFS
HAS MUCH WEAKER UPPER LOW MOVING THROUGH NORTHEAST UTAH INTO
WESTERN WYOMING BEFORE OPENING IT UP. GFS HAS MUCH LIGHTER
PRECIPITATION IN THE MONDAY AND TUESDAY TIME FRAME THAN EUROPEAN.
FOR NOW JUST KEPT IN THE SCATTERED PRECIPITATION IN THE MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME. BOTH MODELS TREND TOWARD DRYING IT OUT
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH THE EUROPEAN WITH ANOTHER STRONG
SYSTEM NEXT FRIDAY.
GK

&&

.AVIATION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FIXED OVER THE REGION
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

VALLE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON. HEAVY
RAIN...LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE MAIN THREATS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS.

VALLE

&&


.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$







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