Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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FXUS65 KREV 031132
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
332 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...

SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS THE WESTERN NEVADA
BASIN AND RANGE. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE WEST COAST THIS WEEK WHICH WILL PROVIDE MUCH DRIER
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

AREAS OF LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY CURRENTLY WORKING THEIR WAY ACROSS
THE WESTERN NEVADA BASIN AND RANGE WITH A FEW LIGHT RADAR RETURNS
NORTH OF THE TAHOE BASIN. LIKELY MOST OF THESE RETURNS ARE NOT
MAKING IT TO THE SURFACE WITH SURFACE DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS AROUND
10 DEGREES. THESE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE MORNING WITH ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL THEN FILTER ACROSS THE REGION AS A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WEST COAST HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS WITH
LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO WARM THROUGH
THE WEEK AS THE RIDGE BUILDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASON
AVERAGES BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE LOW TO
MID 50S ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA WITH MID 40S ACROSS THE SIERRA. HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE 60 DEGREE MARK ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY ACROSS
WESTERN NEVADA WITH 50S EXPECTED FOR THE SIERRA. FUENTES


.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
RAISED SUNDAY AND MONDAY`S HIGHS 2-5 DEGREES, OTHERWISE NO CHANGE TO
THE LONG TERM FORECAST. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE
WEST LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS TO THE EASTERN
SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA, WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

WITH LITTLE TO DISCUSS THROUGH THE 7-DAY PERIOD, LET`S LOOK TOWARDS
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHERE SOME INTERESTING WEATHER MAY DEVELOP.
THE GFS, ECMWF AND GEM ENSEMBLES ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
REPLACING THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC RIDGE WITH A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH.
THIS MAY OPEN THE DOOR FOR A WETTER PERIOD IN NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA
AND WESTERN NEVADA FOR THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK, WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR DEEPER MOISTURE TO BE PULLED INTO THE WEST WITH
SYNOPTIC SCALE DISTURBANCES. ALSO, ALREADY WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES THROUGH NEXT MONDAY COULD SURGE INTO THE LOWER 70S IN
THE LOWER VALLEYS BY NEXT TUESDAY AS MIXING IMPROVES AHEAD OF THE
INCOMING TROUGH. SNYDER

&&

.AVIATION...
CLOUDS DECKS IN THE ~090-120 MSL RANGE CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING
OVER WESTERN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
SLIDES THROUGH NORTHEAST NEVADA. THIS MEANS GENERALLY VFR CIGS FOR
TERMINALS, WITH PERHAPS SOME MT TOP OBSCURATION IN WEST-CENTRAL
NEVADA WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAINS THERE FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL MEAN GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS
WITH LIGHT WINDS. SNYDER

&&


.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)





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