Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 291446
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
946 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

.FOR THE MORNING UPDATE...
AFTER A COOL START THIS MORNING...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE
MID 60S NORTH...UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S CENTRAL...AND MID 70S SOUTH
WHICH IS NEAR CLIMATIC NORMALS FOR LATE JANUARY.  SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY
AND TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION. DEEP LAYER
DRY AIR IN PLACE WITH 12Z TBW SOUNDING INDICATING PCPW OF ONLY
0.30 INCHES. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
ON FRIDAY...BUT WITH MAIN U/L SUPPORT REMAINING WELL TO THE NORTH
AND DRY AIR IN PLACE...SHOULD BE A DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH ONLY
INCREASING CLOUDINESS AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS TODAY AND MUCH OF TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
PATCHY FOG WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT WITH LCL MVFR VSBYS VCNTY ALL
TERMINALS...AND POCKETS OF IFR VSBYS. FOG IS MOST LIKELY TO IMPACT
LAL AND PGD BETWEEN 08-13Z.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL SINK SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY AND
KEEP WINDS BELOW HEADLINES. EAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL DIMINISH
THROUGH THE DAY...WITH WINDS TURNING ONSHORE NEAR THE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...13/OGLESBY
MARINE...05/CARLISLE
DECISION SUPPORT...02/GARCIA




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