Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 260140 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
840 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014

.UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SUNSHINE STATE THIS EVENING AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS. 00Z SOUNDING SHOWS A
SLIGHTLY DRIER ATMOSPHERE THAN LAST NIGHT...WITH A PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUE OF 1.22 INCHES. ENOUGH MOISTURE REMAINS TO PRODUCE
MAINLY MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THIS EVENING. PORTIONS OF THE
NATURE COAST SHOULD SEE LESS CLOUD COVER WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR
SOME CHILLIER TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT. LATEST MOS GUIDANCE IS A
DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THE FORECAST...BUT STILL NOT SURE THE
ATMOSPHERE IS DRY ENOUGH TO HAVE EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING
OVERNIGHT. COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL NOT BE TOO STRONG TONIGHT WITH
WINDS IN THE 5 TO 10 MPH NEIGHBORHOOD. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY
REMAINS THE SAME...WITH UPDATED ZONES TRANSMITTED TO REMOVE
MENTION OF THE EXPIRED RIP CURRENT RISK.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MAINLY LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OVER CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS IS PRODUCING MODERATE SEAS
PROMPTING SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS WILL VEER TO
THE EAST NORTHEAST IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE ON FRIDAY AS THE
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST. WINDS AND SEAS WILL FURTHER
DECREASE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS AND SEAS LESS
THAN 3 FEET.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  53  74  64  80 /   0  10  10  10
FMY  58  80  65  83 /   0  10  10  10
GIF  53  76  62  80 /   0  10  10  10
SRQ  55  75  63  79 /   0  10  10  10
BKV  45  73  58  80 /   0  10  10  10
SPG  57  72  64  78 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...02/GARCIA
MARINE...007/DOUGHERTY
DECISION SUPPORT...18/FLEMING





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