Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 291456
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1056 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.UPDATE...
A RATHER MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS DEPICTED ON THE MORNING TBW
SOUNDING WITH A GENERAL SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW AND PRECIPITABLE
WATER NOW UP AROUND 2.1 INCHES. MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED
TO AROUND -6 CELSIUS WITH LIFTED INDEX DOWN TO ABOUT -7.
THEREFORE...WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND THE SEA BREEZES WE SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SEE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP WITH AN INITIAL STORM MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST.
HOWEVER THE FLOW IS RATHER WEAK SO AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESS THE
STORMS WILL PROPAGATE/DEVELOP AND MOVE MORE WITH THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES. IN GENERAL THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK..,BUT HAVE
ADJUSTED GRIDS SLIGHTLY AND WILL UPDATE ZONES SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO EARLY TONIGHT.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC RIDGES WEST OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA PRODUCING EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AND
SEAS 3 FEET OR LESS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE SEA BREEZE WILL
SET UP ALONG THE COASTLINE EACH DAY TURNING THE WINDS TO ONSHORE
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST DIRECTION. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN THE VICINITY OF
THESE STORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  93  78  94  78 /  60  40  40  20
FMY  94  76  95  76 /  60  40  30  20
GIF  94  76  94  75 /  60  40  40  20
SRQ  93  77  93  76 /  50  40  40  20
BKV  94  73  95  73 /  60  40  50  20
SPG  92  81  93  80 /  60  40  40  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...69/CLOSE
MARINE...74/WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT...25/DAVIS





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