Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 290416
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
916 PM MST THU MAY 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING SOUTHEAST ARIZONA DRY
CONDITIONS WITH A STRONG WARMING TREND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL EXCEED 100 DEGREES THIS WEEKEND FOR
TUCSON...SAFFORD AND THE LOWER DESERTS...WITH MID TO UPPER 90S
ELSEWHERE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...VERY QUIET AND WARM LATE MAY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA WITH DRY WESTERLY FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF A RIDGE ACROSS
THE EASTERN PACIFIC. A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS PUSHING THROUGH EASTERN
CALIFORNIA RESULTING IN A FEW CIRROFORM CLOUDINESS MAINLY OVER THE
NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE WITH SOME THIN CIRRUS
CLOUDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT FOR OUR AREA. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN STORY
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE THE HEAT AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN.
TUCSON HIT 97 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE FIRST 100 DEGREE HIGH
OF THE SEASON POSSIBLE FRIDAY. IF WE DON`T ACHIEVE IT FRIDAY...IT
WILL OCCUR FOR CERTAIN THIS WEEKEND WITH 105 POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY.
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD...NO UPDATES.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 30/06Z. SKC-SCT CLOUDS ABOVE 20K FT AGL
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SOME SCT CLOUDS AROUND 10-12K FT AGL POSSIBLE
SOUTH AND EAST OF KTUS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE ON
THE LIGHT SIDE AND FAVOR DIURNAL DIRECTIONS. SOME GUSTINESS WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM A WEST TO NORTHWEST DIRECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS AT TAF SITES. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WORK WEEK...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND ALONG THE NEW MEXICO BORDER THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. DAYTIME MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO MIDDLE TEENS. EXPECT NORMAL
DIURNAL WIND TRENDS INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH SOME GUSTINESS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS DUE TO STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

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