Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS48 KWNS 040718
SWOD48
SPC AC 040717

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0217 AM CDT TUE AUG 04 2015

VALID 071200Z - 121200Z

...DISCUSSION...
ON THE LARGE SCALE...EVENING GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT
THAT SUMMERTIME UPPER RIDGE WILL REGAIN STRENGTH AND DOMINANCE
ACROSS THE SCNTRL CONUS THROUGH D4/FRI. TROUGHS IN THE WEST AND
EAST...AND THE OCCASIONAL RIDGE-RUNNING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE
PLAINS TO MIDWEST...WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS IN THESE REGIONS. HOWEVER...THERE IS HARDLY AGREEMENT
IN THE DETAILS...ESPECIALLY THE SMALL-SCALE DETAILS ASSOCIATED WITH
FOCUSED AND MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. PREDICTABILITY
WILL REMAIN LOW UNTIL AGREEMENT ARISES IN THE HANDLING OF A MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SYSTEM TO DRIVE SEVERE WEATHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.

..CARBIN.. 08/04/2015



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