Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 201838
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0137 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The previous forecast remains on track. Occasionally dry and breezy
conditions, perhaps locally exceeding Elevated thresholds at times,
remain possible tomorrow (Sunday) afternoon from Montana to the
Lower Michigan Peninsula. Nonetheless, fuels still appear marginally
receptive for supporting significant wildfire spread, precluding the
addition of Elevated highlights this outlook.

..Squitieri.. 04/20/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024/

...Synopsis...
A strong midlevel westerly jet streak will cross the northern
Rockies during peak heating, while a related cold front overspreads
the region. This will promote strong, post-frontal westerly surface
winds across portions of northern MT, which could briefly overlap
20-30 percent RH. As a result, locally elevated fire-weather
conditions are possible.

Farther east, the southern periphery of a belt of strong deep-layer
northwesterly flow will overspread MN, WI, and Lower MI.
Boundary-layer heating and related mixing into the enhanced flow
aloft will yield breezy/gusty surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH.
While locally elevated conditions are possible, uncertainty
regarding fuels and marginal winds/RH limit confidence in the
large-fire threat.

Lastly, locally elevated conditions are possible over portions of
east-central FL during the afternoon, where diurnal heating amid
enhanced deep-layer westerly flow should favor breezy/gusty surface
winds and around 30 percent RH. Overall, these conditions appear too
localized for an Elevated area at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$


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