Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FGUS73 KIWX 091856
ESFIWX
INC001-003-009-017-033-039-049-053-069-075-085-087-091-099-103-
113-131-141-149-151-169-179-181-183-MIC021-023-027-059-149-OHC003-
039-051-069-125-137-161-171-101900-
Adams-Allen IN-Blackford-Cass IN-De Kalb-Elkhart-Fulton IN-Grant-
Huntington-Jay-Kosciusko-Lagrange-La Porte-Marshall-Miami-Noble-
Pulaski-St. Joseph IN-Starke-Steuben-Wabash-Wells-White-Whitley-
Berrien-Branch-Cass MI-Hillsdale-St. Joseph MI-Allen OH-Defiance-
Fulton OH-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Williams-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
156 PM EST Mon Jan 9 2017 /1256 PM CST Mon Jan 9 2017/

...FLOODING POTENTIAL INCREASING THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEK...

MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THIS WEEK AND WEEKEND COMBINED
WITH A FROZEN GROUND WILL LEAD TO RUNOFF AND RISES ON
RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH A LOW
CHANCE FOR MODERATE FLOODING ON SOME RIVERS DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH
RAIN FALLS AND WHERE IT OCCURS.

NUMEROUS WEATHER SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING BETWEEN 1 AND 3
INCHES OF RAIN TO THE LOCAL AREA OVER THE NEXT WEEK. SINCE THE
GROUND IS CURRENTLY FROZEN TO A DEPTH OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WATER
WILL HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME INITIALLY SOAKING INTO THE SOIL. MOST
OF THE RAIN WILL BECOME RUNOFF AND LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT RISES ON
RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS.

IT REMAINS DIFFICULT AND TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHICH RIVER BASINS
WILL SEE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AND MOST SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE
RIVERS. HOWEVER...THE BEST CHANCE DOES APPEAR TO BE SOUTHEAST OF A
LINE FROM AROUND KNOX INDIANA TO HILLSDALE MICHIGAN...AFFECTING
PRIMARILY THE UPPER WABASH AND MAUMEE RIVER BASINS BUT THE KANKAKEE
BASIN COULD SEE SUBSTANTIAL RISES AS WELL.

PEOPLE LIVING NEAR RIVERS...STREAMS...CREEKS AND OTHER LOW LYING
FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT WEEK AND BE
PREPARED FOR MINOR TO POSSIBLY MODERATE FLOODING.

MODEL OUTLOOKS FOR POTENTIAL RIVER RISES OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS IN
THE WABASH AND MAUMEE BASINS CAN BE FOUND FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OHIO RIVER FORECAST CENTER AT THE FOLLOWING
URL...ALL IN LOWER CASE...

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/MMEFS

$$

LASHLEY



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