Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 010411 AAB
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1111 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

.AVIATION...
SOME LOW CLOUDS OR FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLES
OVERNIGHT. RIGHT NOW BELIEVE THAT THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL STAY
TO THE EAST OF THE TAF SITES...SO HAVE GONE WITH A VFR FORECAST.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VARIABLE AND BELOW 10 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 608 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

AVIATION...
MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE MORNING ON FRIDAY...BUT
SKIES WILL REMAIN VFR. WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE AND UNDER 10 KNOTS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 351 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014/

DISCUSSION...
MADE NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT WEEK. THE OVERALL
PATTERN REMAINS THE SAME...WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS AND DEEP TROUGH TO THE EAST. IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS...A FEW SHOWERS OR WEAK
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STEERED FROM THE MOUNTAINS INTO THE FAR
WESTERN PARTS OF THE PANHANDLES THROUGH SATURDAY. NO SEVERE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED OUT OF ANY OF THESE STORMS...AND IN ALL LIKELIHOOD THEY
WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES RETURN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER AIR PATTERN FLATTENS OUT...WITH
THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING OVERHEAD. A SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE RIDING
AROUND THE RIDGE WILL BRING ANOTHER DECENT SUMMER COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE PANHANDLES...SOMETIME BETWEEN TUESDAY AND THURSDAY DEPENDING ON
YOUR MODEL OF CHOICE. AT THIS TIME...EXPECT THE FRONT TO MAKE AN
INITIAL PUSH WEDNESDAY AND THEN A FINAL PUSH THROUGH ON THURSDAY. AS
WITH THE OTHER COLD FRONTS THIS SUMMER...FEEL CONFIDENT IN A WINDOW
OF OPPORTUNITY FOR BENEFICIAL RAINFALL AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION.

NF

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/03




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