Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 281827
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
127 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO INCREASE MOISTURE VALUES
ACROSS THE BOARD. THIS MORNING`S KBMX 12Z SOUNDING STILL INDICATED
LOTS OF DRY AIR ALOFT AND LESS THAN ONE INCH PWATS. SO...IT`S
GOING TO TAKE A LITTLE TIME TO INCREASE MOISTURE ENOUGH TO GET
ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN
ALABAMA. WITH MOISTURE ALREADY BECOMING HIGH ENOUGH ACROSS EASTERN
AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES...WE CONTINUE TO EXPECT SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR. IN FACT...WE ALREADY HAVE SHOWERS
DEVELOPING IN THESE AREAS AT THIS HOUR. THEREFORE...THE CURRENT
FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO MAJOR CHANGES ARE NEEDED AT THIS
TIME.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

LOWER MVFR CLOUDS HAVE MIXED OUT ACROSS EASTERN ALABAMA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON GIVING WAY TO VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL TERMINALS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS OF KMGM AND KTOI HAVE
WARRANTED INCLUSION OF VCTS IN THE TAF FOR THOSE LOCATIONS THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

56/GDG

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

MOISTURE VALUES WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO RISE TODAY. SOME ISO/SCT
CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE IN THE EAST/SOUTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT
WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING FROM EAST TO WEST ON SATURDAY. FOR
NEXT WEEK...LOOK FOR GENERALLY ISOLATED SHOWER/STORMS EACH DAY. NO
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     69  84  69  84  67 /  20  50  40  40  20
ANNISTON    70  83  69  85  68 /  20  60  40  40  20
BIRMINGHAM  71  84  70  86  69 /  20  40  30  30  20
TUSCALOOSA  71  87  70  89  70 /  20  30  20  20  10
CALERA      71  85  70  86  70 /  20  50  30  30  20
AUBURN      71  83  70  85  70 /  30  60  40  40  20
MONTGOMERY  71  87  71  90  70 /  30  60  30  30  20
TROY        70  84  69  89  70 /  30  60  30  30  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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