Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KBMX 191812
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
112 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OUT THERE ALREADY THIS MORNING IN THE
NORTHEAST...FELT COMFORTABLE ENOUGH TO UPDATE TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
IN THE NORTH AND EAST...WHERE NUMEROUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ARE
PRESENT THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION TO THE BOUNDARIES WE DO
HAVE THE WEDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST AS WELL. THIS WILL HELP
AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE RICHEST AIRMASS IS IN THE
SOUTHEAST...WHERE ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE 9 TO 10 PM TIME
FRAME. WILL ALSO BE MONITORING FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE
NORTHWEST LATE. THOSE ARE THE ONLY TWO AREAS AT THIS TIME THAT MAY
SEE ANY SHOWERS AFTER 7 PM. TEMPERATURES ON TRACK AND WILL ONLY
ADJUST THE MORNING TRENDS.

16


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME STORMS ALREADY DEVELOPING IN OUR NORTHEAST COUNTIES...IN AND
AROUND ANB. EXPECT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT THRU THE AFTERNOON WITH
THE BEST CHANCES IN THE NORTH AND EAST AS A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT
MOVES WEST INTO/ACROSS THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH WITH
SUNSET. MODELS ARE HANDLING THE EASTERLY FLOW AND MOISTURE A BIT
DIFFERENTLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WILL THERE BE LOW CLOUDS
OR FOG? BELIEVE THERE IS AT LEAST A CHANCE OF SOME MVFR CIGS
MOVING IN FROM THE WEST CLOSER TO SUNRISE BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS
LOW AT THIS TIME. BEST CHANCE WOULD BE AT MGM/TOI AND PERHAPS ANB.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE EAST AT 5-10 KTS DURING THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS AND LIGHT/CALM OVERNIGHT.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     64  84  64  86  62 /  10   0   0  10  30
ANNISTON    65  83  65  86  63 /  10   0   0  10  30
BIRMINGHAM  66  85  67  87  64 /  10   0   0  10  30
TUSCALOOSA  68  88  68  90  66 /  10   0   0  10  20
CALERA      66  85  66  88  65 /  10   0   0  10  20
AUBURN      65  84  65  88  66 /  10  10   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  67  86  67  90  68 /  10  10   0   0  10
TROY        65  86  65  89  67 /  20  10   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.