Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 241326
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
926 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will cross the region today then exit the coast
early tonight. Another cold front will begin to cross the
region Sunday night into Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
910 AM Update: The most sig chg this update was to lower the
cvrg of fog across the Rgn, although we keep mention for now
thru the remainder of the morn. The dense fog adv alg the
immediate coast was terminated with vsbys making incremental
progress upwards. More rapid improvement in vsbys will occur
midday into aftn behind the departing current area of shwrs
as sfc winds become more wrly. Otherwise, fcst hrly temps and
dwpts into this aftn were updated based on trends seen from
latest mid morn obs. Outside of minor chgs to hi trrn, no chgs
to fcst hi temps this update.

Orgnl Disc: A cold front will slowly cross the region today
then exit the Downeast coast early tonight. Showers will be most
extensive this morning, with an isolated thunderstorm also
possible. Areas of fog will also occur across much of the region
this morning, more extensive along the Downeast coast where a
Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 9 AM. Shower chances will
diminish this afternoon along with decreasing clouds. An
isolated shower is possible across northern areas mostly early
tonight. Otherwise, expect partly cloudy skies north with mostly
clear skies Downeast tonight. High temperatures today will
range from the mid to upper 70s north, to the upper 70s to
around 80 interior Downeast with mid 70s along the Downeast
coast. Low temperatures tonight will range from the mid 50s
north, to the mid to upper 50s Downeast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A surface and upper level low pressure system will be
approaching from the west Sunday. This system is expected to
spread showers across the region during the day. Will also
include the chance of thunder during the afternoon with unstable
conditions expected. Showers and thunderstorms are also expected
Sunday night and Monday as the low pressure system moves across
the state then off to the east.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Another low pressure system is expected to move across the
region Tuesday resulting in showers. A cold front will move
across the state Wednesday. The cold front will then stall
Wednesday night then move back northward as a warm front
Thursday resulting in showers through the period. Showers are
expected again Friday as another low pressure system approaches
the region from the west.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR/LIFR, with local VLIFR, conditions will occur
across the region early this morning. Conditions will improve to
MVFR levels later this morning through early afternoon.
Generally VFR conditions are then expected across the region
later this afternoon through tonight, though occasional MVFR
conditions are possible across the north and mountains.

SHORT TERM: VFR, with occasional MVFR/IFR, conditions are
expected Sunday into Monday. MVFR/IFR conditions are then
expected Tuesday into Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: Have transitioned the Small Craft Advisory to a
Small Craft Advisory for Hazardous Seas and extended the
advisory through 8 PM with this update. Visibilities will be
significantly reduced in fog today into this evening. Showers
are also possible today.

SHORT TERM: Have used the NAM for sustained winds then transition
to the Super Blend winds Monday evening. For Waves: A long
fetch from the Gulf of Maine extending southward Saturday will
keep wave heights elevated due to swell on Sunday and Monday.
Will use the Nearshore Wave Prediction System for wave grids.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 8 PM EDT this
     evening for ANZ050-051.

&&

$$

Near Term...VJN
Short Term...Mignone
Long Term...Mignone
Aviation...VJN/Mignone
Marine...VJN/Mignone



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