Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 060809
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
409 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST
BRINGING FAIR CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION
TODAY INTO TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
WEST TUESDAY NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WARMER AND BECOMING MORE HUMID.

SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS CONTINUED TO SLIDE SE ACROSS THE STATE THIS
MORNING PER THE LATEST IR SATELLITE IMAGERY. SOME PATCHY FOG WAS
AROUND ESPECIALLY IN THE LOW LYING AREAS. THE LATEST SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWED HIGH PRES EXTENDING FROM THE NW ATLANTIC BACK
INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS HIGH IS EXPECTED TO RIDGE ACROSS THE STATE
OF MAINE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THAT CIRRUS SHIELD SLIDING SE OF THE
REGION W/PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. UPPER HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD
AS WELL TODAY LEADING TO WARMER TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASE IN
THE DEWPOINTS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE SOME 5 TO
10 DEGREES WARMER THAN THEY WERE ON SUNDAY. WE ARE TAKING 80S FOR
JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE EXCEPT THE IMMEDIATE COAST AS A SEA BREEZE
WILL LEAD TO TEMPERATURES COOLING. THIS SEA BREEZE COULD MAKES IT
WAY INLAND TO PORTIONS OF INTERIOR DOWNEAST(BANGOR AREA) COOLING
THINGS OFF AFTER TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 80S.

CLEAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MILDER W/A LIGHT SOUTH WIND
SETTING UP LATE. THIS WILL LEAD TO SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT MAINLY
ACROSS THE DOWNEAST AND COASTAL REGION. DECIDED TO GO W/AREAS OF
FOG FOR THESE AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
AROUND THE HIGH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO
MID 80S AWAY FROM THE COAST. ALONG WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
COME AN INCREASE IN THE HUMIDITY LEVELS AS DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED
TO RISE INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S MAKING IT FEEL ON THE MUGGY SIDE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS QUEBEC LATER TUESDAY RESULTING
IN INCREASING CLOUDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT MOST AREAS WILL STAY
DRY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE FRONT INCHES ITS WAY CLOSER
TUESDAY NIGHT EXPECT THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SOUTHERLY WINDS IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WILL LIKELY LEAD TO LOW
CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING ACROSS THE DOWN EAST COAST.
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARM AND MUGGY WITH LOW TEMPERATURES ONLY
FALLING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S.

THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
THEN REACH THE DOWN EAST COAST LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT. THE BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS CENTRAL AND
INTERIOR DOWN EAST AREAS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE
IN THE MID 70S NORTH TO NEAR 80 CENTRAL AND INTERIOR DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH CLEARING SKIES AND COOLER WEATHER. THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY WILL BE MAINLY DRY WITH NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED. A FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE DOWN FROM THE NORTH LATER
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY BUT WILL JUST GO WITH SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEAR TERM: PERIODS OF IFR/MVFR THIS MORNING AT SOME OF THE
TERMINALS ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN ONES FOR SHALLOW FOG. THE FOG
WILL BURN OFF AFTER SUNRISE W/VFR THE REST OF THE DAY INTO
TONIGHT. BGR AND BHB COULD SEE FOG DEVELOPMENT BY EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING W/A S WIND DEVELOPING ALLOWING FOR MVFR AND PERHAPS IFR
VSBYS.

SHORT TERM: VFR TUESDAY. MVFR/IFR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IN
SCT SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH LIFR POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST IN LOW
CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CALM CONDITIONS W/LIGHT WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHTS OF 2-3
AWAY FROM THE INTRA-COASTAL ZONE. CONTINUED W/A BLEND OF THE NAM12
AND GFS40 FOR SUSTAINED WINDS. USED THE LOCAL WAVE MODEL FOR THE
WAVE HEIGHTS.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 TO 3 NM TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY IN AREAS OF FOG AND SCT SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...HEWITT/DUDA
MARINE...HEWITT/DUDA



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