Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS65 KFGZ 052231
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
330 PM MST SUN JUL 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA THROUGH MONDAY. A DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE
WESTERN ZONES STARTING TUESDAY...WHILE THE EASTERN ZONES REMAIN
ACTIVE THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&
.DISCUSSION...IT HAS BEEN A RATHER ACTIVE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. A FEW PRODUCED
HAIL UP TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER AND THERE WAS LOCAL HEAVY RAIN.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...SOME
STORMS MAY LAST WELL INTO THE NIGHT.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY. A
DECREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY TO LESS
THAN 20 PERCENT FOR ALL ZONES EXCEPT THE WHITE MOUNTAINS...EASTERN
MOGOLLON RIM AND WINDOW ROCK AREAS WHERE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. MUCH LESS CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED ACROSS AREAS
WEST OF A LINE FROM PAGE TO PAYSON FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRYING SHOULD REACH EASTERN ZONES BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED AREAS OF +TSRA. STORMS WILL BE GENERALLY MOVING FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. SHOWER AND STORM COVERAGE SHOULD DECREASE
AFT 06Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL KEEP A MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH MONDAY WITH GOOD
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER WESTERLY FLOW WILL
STEADILY DECREASE MOISTURE LEVELS RESULTING IN A DOWNTURN OF STORM
ACTIVITY BEGINNING TUESDAY.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A GRADUAL DRYING TREND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEK ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA.
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN CLOSE TO AVERAGE...WITH DECREASING
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES AND BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MAS
AVIATION.......MCS
FIRE WEATHER...MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.