Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 100423

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
925 PM MST Fri Dec 09 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Seasonably warm weather will continue through the
weekend and into next week. A weak low pressure system to our north
will bring a slight chance of rain showers to the area on Sunday.
Otherwise, expect dry conditions.


.DISCUSSION...Expect slightly amplified zonal flow for the next
several days, the exception being Sunday when a minor s/wv passes
through the Great Basin. Heights are above normal and daytime
temperatures will follow that trend.

Due to trajectories off the eastern Pacific, enough moisture has
moved into northern Arizona to produce a few lower clouds tonight
north of Flagstaff. There has been a bit more mixing compared to
last night, so this is not expected to be very widespread.

The aforementioned s/wv on Sunday will bring this moist layer a bit
farther south and low clouds will become more widespread along and
north of the I-40 corridor Saturday night and SUnday. There will be
just enough height falls for a slight dip in temperatures, increase
in winds and a chance of showers over higher terrain from Flagstaff
north and northeast.

Confidence is building for a pattern change late next week. Details
of this change vary wildly among different models. Stay tuned.


.AVIATION...For the 06Z forecast...Expect VFR conditions through
the period. Sct SC with bases from 3-5kft agl may form tonight
through sunrise Saturday north of KFLG, over the higher terrain.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






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