Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 172340
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
640 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

AVIATION...AN IMPULSE WHICH MOVED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
PRODUCED A FEW SPRINKLES OUT AC CIGS CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST AND
OUT OF THE AREA. THE NEXT SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY. SINCE MOISTURE IS LIMITED IN THE LOWER LAYERS, CIGS
SHOULD REMAIN VFR WITH CLEARING SKIES AS THE TROF MOVES THROUGH
BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. SOME GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY
MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROF.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 235 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THIS AFTERNOON...THE SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
AREA WITH SHOWERS AND EVEN AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TO AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE. IN ITS WAKE SOME BRIEF CLEARING HAS TAKEN PLACE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AT THE SURFACE WINDS ARE GENERALLY OUT OF
THE EAST NORTHEAST WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH OFF TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER THERE
IS AN AREA OF INSTABILITY ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH JUST OFFSHORE
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THIS ACTIVITY COULD EASE BACK TO THE NORTH FOR
A WHILE THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...WILL END ALL PRECIPITATION
EXCEPT THE EASTERN ZONES BY 06Z TONIGHT. THERE THE COMBINATION OF
UPPER TROF AXIS TO THE WEST AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE IN THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF WILL REQUIRE THE CONTINUED MENTION OF SMALL
POPS THROUGH FRIDAY.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST...NO MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE
TO GRIDS OTHER THAN TO REMOVE THE SMALL POPS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
ZONES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THE LATEST GUIDANCE KEEPS
THE ACTIVITY WELL TO THE WEST.

OTHERWISE MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ON THE WAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
80S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY

BRAZZELL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  58  78  59  78  60 /  10  10  10  10  10
KBPT  58  78  60  78  62 /  20  10  10  10  10
KAEX  55  75  56  79  59 /  20  20  10  10  10
KLFT  58  75  58  78  60 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.LAKECHARLES.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$







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