Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 020442
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1142 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 02/06Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
A LARGE SHIELD OF MAINLY LIGHT RAIN OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
GRADUALLY MAKE ITS WAY ONSHORE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WILL GO
WITH VCSH AT KBPT/KLCH/KLFT/KARA THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT...WITH BEST
CHANCE FOR PREVAILING LIGHT RAIN AT KLFT AND KARA AFTER 02/08Z
WITH SOME MVFR CONDITIONS DUE TO PATCHY FOG MIXING IN WITH THE
LIGHT RAIN. ALSO...SOME BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AT KAEX DUE TO PATCHY LIGHT FOG.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WITH
PLENTY OF GULF MOISTURE. THEREFORE...WITH DAYTIME HEATING...THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AT ALMOST ANYTIME DURING THE MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

RUA

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

SYNOPSIS...BROAD MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING REMAINS OVER EAST
TEXAS INTO LOUISIANA AND THE WESTERN GULF. THIS FEATURE GRUADUALLY
FILLS IN LATE THURSDAY WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE GRUADUALLY
BUILDING IN THIS WEEKEND. MOISTURE WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR OUT SO
THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A MENTION OF PRECIP ON LABOR DAY AND INTO
NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF THE
AREA WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF ACADIANA THANKS TO THE
AFOREMENTIONED MOISTURE COMBINED WITH UPPER LEVEL DIFLUENCE AND
THE RIGHT REAR QUAD OF THE POLAR JETSTREAK. THE RAIN LOOKS TO
LINGER LATE TNITE DUE TO SHORT WAVE ENERGY. THE PATTERN HAS BEEN
PERSISTENT ON OVERNIGHT TEMPS...WENT HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE FOR THE
SOUTHERN TIER WHERE DEW POINTS AGAIN ARE RUNNING HIGHER THAN
PROGGED.

LONG TERM...KEPT LIKELY POPS ESPECIALLY FOR THE SW ZONES ON
WEDNESDAY WITH MOISTURE AND JET ENERGY CONTINUING. LOW END RAIN
CHANCES THURSDAY THRU THE EXTENDED. A DEEP WESTERN TROF AND AN
OPEN GULF DESPITE THE ADDITION OF SOME LOW LEVEL RIDGING.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  71  92  72  94 /  40  50  20  30
LCH  72  88  74  88 /  30  60  20  40
LFT  74  90  73  92 /  20  50  20  30
BPT  73  86  76  88 /  40  70  20  40

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...07


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