Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 030243
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
743 PM PDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...NORTHERN NEVADA CAN EXPECT AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
90S THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S.
&&

.UPDATE...UPDATED TO REDUCE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ACROSS
CENTRAL NV FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT AS SATELLITE PICS AND
LIGHTNING DETECTION ONLY SHOWING ISOLATED ACTIVITY AT THIS TIME.
HRRR/RAP MODELS ALSO ONLY SHOWING ISOLATED ACTIVITY ACROSS THIS
REGION FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 313 PM /

SYNOPSIS...NORTHERN NEVADA CAN EXPECT AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
90S THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. RADAR IS DEPICTING ECHOES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORM
SPEEDS ARE VERY SLOW...WHICH TRANSLATES INTO BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. A
CELL THAT VENTURED OVER THE NWS OFFICE HERE GAVE AN ESTIMATED
0.19 INCHES. STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH DECENT RAIN FALL WHERE STORMS HAPPEN
TO MOVE OVERHEAD. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MILD...UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S.

BY FRIDAY...THE UPPER HIGH CIRCULATION THAT HAS BEEN OVER
NORTHERN NEVADA WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WILL
BE OVER SOUTHWEST UTAH BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN
NEVADA WITH THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATIONS TO BE OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING SOUTHERN
LANDER/EUREKA...WHITE PINE COUNTY...AND NORTHERN NYE COUNTY. HIGHS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM...WITH READINGS IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW
100S.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. RIDGE OVER NEVADA
BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN THIS WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY COOL
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AT WHICH TIME AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL
BE WITHIN 5 DEGREES OF NORMAL...GENERALLY UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S. MID-
LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED UNDER THE WEAKENING RIDGE THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES LOWER INTO THREE QUARTERS TO ONE INCH RANGE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...THOUGH MAY STILL SEE SOME MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS. DRIER AND
MORE STABLE AIR BEGINS TO PUSH UP INTO CENTRAL NEVADA ON TUESDAY. BY
WEDNESDAY STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO NORTHERN
NEVADA...GENERALLY ELKO COUNTY AND AREAS NORTH OF I80 IN HUMBOLDT
COUNTY.

AVIATION...LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS TO 40 KT.
SIMILAR WEATHER ON SATURDAY ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

91/96/86


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