Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FXUS63 KLMK 262255
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
655 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM (Now through Saturday Night)...
Issued at 205 PM EDT Fri Aug 26 2016

Upper ridging continues to spin over the southeast United States.
satellite and radar loops show a textbook ring of fire pattern with
clouds and storms flowing around the periphery of the ridge. With
the center of the ridging over Virginia and North Carolina, the LMK
CWA sits on the edge of the ridge, just enough into it to squelch
most convection. As a result, this evening should be dry with the
possible exception of a stray storm far west. Some of the
aforementioned thunderstorm activity, currently over the middle and
lower Mississippi Valley, may slip into the west/northwest sections
of the region late tonight.

Saturday will be more of the same with hot and humid weather and a
small chance of pop-up storms, especially in the heat of the day,
especially north and west once again. Afternoon heat index readings
will approach 100. We`ll get little relief Saturday night with muggy
conditions and the mercury only dropping into the lower and middle
70s.

.LONG TERM (Sunday through Friday)...
Issued at 212 PM EDT Fri Aug 26 2016

The upper high will remain in place through Monday, then get
suppressed early next week as a large upper trof swings through
southeast Canada. This may help to lower temperatures a couple of
degrees, and will continue the daily chances of scattered primarily
diurnal thunderstorms. No significant surface fronts to hang one`s
hat on, and we`ll have to see what happens with the tropical
disturbance currently over the Bahamas too.

&&

.AVIATION (00Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 655 PM EDT Fri Aug 26 2016

Central Kentucky will remain under the influence of high pressure
aloft, keeping convection confined to western TN, western KY into
eastern IL. Expect light/variable winds tonight with another round
of light ground fog at BWG a couple hours either side of sunrise.
Otherwise, plan on more VFR conditions into Saturday with a sct cu
field developing by afternoon. Winds will be generally out of the
south 5 to 7 kts. There is a slight chance of a late afternoon
shower or storm developing but confidence is too low at this time to
include in the TAF.

&&

.LMK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term........13
Long Term.........13
Aviation..........ZT



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