Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 220122
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
922 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
THE SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT MOVED INLAND THROUGH SARASOTA COUNTY AND
EASTWARD TO HIGHLANDS COUNTY HAVE DISSIPATED THIS EVENING. PARTS
OF DESOTO AND HIGHLANDS COUNTY SAW RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER 2 INCHES
IN SOME SPOTS. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OUT OVER THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND
INTO THE ATLANTIC. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF
THE GREAT LAKES RIDGING SOUTHWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA LATER
TONIGHT AND ON WEDNESDAY. THE 00Z UPPER AIR SOUNDING IS ALREADY
SHOWING LOWER PWAT VALUES COMING IN AT JUST UNDER 1.2 INCHES AND
MUCH DRIER AIR BETWEEN 850-400 MB. ADJUSTED THE POPS AND WEATHER
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT LOWERING IT TO ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS AND REMOVED ANY CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALL OTHER GRIDS LOOK GOOD AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
OVERALL VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS OVERNIGHT WITH
SOME BRIEF PATCHY FOG/MIST POSSIBLE AT LAL/PGD DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. THE NORTHERN TERMINALS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...BUT THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS MAY SEE A SPOTTY SHOWER IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS SO HAVE PUT VCSH FOR PGD/FMY/RSW.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND WILL REMAIN BELOW
10 KNOTS ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE AREA NEARING THE YUCATAN WILL BE SPREADING
CLOUDS AND SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE SOUTH HALF OF FLORIDA
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN BETWEEN THIS LOW
AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
EXPECT GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS THAT MAY REACH CAUTIONARY LEVELS BY
THURSDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  69  86  64  85 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  70  86  68  87 /  20  30  10  10
GIF  67  85  62  83 /  10   0   0   0
SRQ  68  86  65  86 /  10  10   0   0
BKV  56  86  53  83 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  72  85  69  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...74/WYNN
MARINE...007/DOUGHERTY
DECISION SUPPORT...69/CLOSE





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