Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 050058
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
858 PM EDT FRI SEP 4 2015

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WANING WITH REMAINING LIGHT
TO MODERATE PRECIP TO END SHORTLY LEAVING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
OVERNIGHT AS WARM SUMMERTIME NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE. 00Z
TBW SOUNDING SHOWING MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT HOLDING OVER
THE AREA. UPPER AIR PLOTS AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AS UPPER ENERGY DROPS THROUGH THE REGION TO KEEP
INCREASED POPS OVER THE AREA SATURDAY. WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE
FIELDS TO ALLOW CONVECTION TO INITIATE ON BAY AND SEAS BREEZE
BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS.

.AVIATION...ISOLATED SW FL TSRA TO END SHORTLY WITH VFR
CONDITIONS ALL AREAS OVERNIGHT. SCT TSRA TO REDEVELOP TOMORROW
LATE MORNING AROUND THE BAY AREA THEN MOVE INLAND AND INTO SOUTHERN
AREAS AFT 18Z.

&&

.MARINE...WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT TO HOLD OVER THE EASTERN GULF
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND WEEKEND WITH LIGHT WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS
CONTINUING. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  78  90  76  90 /  20  50  30  40
FMY  77  91  75  90 /  10  50  40  50
GIF  75  91  74  90 /  20  60  20  50
SRQ  77  90  75  90 /  10  40  30  40
BKV  73  91  72  90 /  20  60  20  40
SPG  79  90  77  89 /  10  40  30  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$



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