Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 201417 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1017 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.UPDATE...
RADAR CURRENTLY DETECTING SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO OFF
THE NATURE COAST...WITH SOME COMING ASHORE THIS MORNING. AS HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO HOLD ACROSS THE PENINSULA TODAY...SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL BE SUPPRESSED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITH THE BEST RAIN CHANCES INLAND THIS
AFTERNOON. MADE SOME TWEAKS TO THE HOURLY GRIDS THIS MORNING BASED
OFF OBSERVED TRENDS...OTHERWISE FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH NO
UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...THOUGH MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY INLAND. LIGHT WINDS WILL
INCREASE LATER TODAY AS THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS AND MOVES
INLAND...WITH GUSTY VARIABILITY AROUND CONVECTION. WINDS WILL
LIGHTEN AFTER SUNSET AGAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL KEEP
WINDS OUT OF NORTHWEST DIRECTION BELOW 10 KNOTS AND SEAS LESS THAN 2
FEET THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL ALSO REMAIN MINIMAL FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH LITTLE
MORE THAN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...BUT INCREASING
MOISTURE THIS WEEKEND WILL BRING RAIN CHANCES BACK TO AROUND NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  93  79  93  80 /  10  10  20  20
FMY  94  78  94  78 /  30  20  40  20
GIF  95  77  96  77 /  20  10  30  10
SRQ  93  78  93  77 /  10  10  20  20
BKV  94  71  95  74 /  10  10  30  20
SPG  92  80  92  82 /  10  10  20  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...02/GARCIA
MARINE...74/WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES...21/JELSEMA





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