Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 221430
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1030 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure ridging across south FL will keep a SW flow in
place across the local area for the next several days. The
SW flow will allow for overnight and morning showers and
thunderstorms over the coastal waters and along the coast,
then shifting inland through the afternoon and evening.
Current forecast reflects this well and have no update
planned. Temperatures are on track to reach into the upper
80s to lower 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
Showers and thunderstorms this morning near the coast will
expand inland through the afternoon. Have a tempo at KSRQ
where there is currently a thunderstorm in place, and VCTS
elsewhere for nearby storms. Activity should subside after
01z, with light and variable winds overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
SW flow will continue over the coastal waters for the next
several days as the high pressure ridge axis remains south
of the area. This will allow for scattered overnight and
morning showers and thunderstorms with waterspouts possible.
Current forecast handles this well and have little change
for the update.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  89  78  88  79 /  50  30  50  20
FMY  90  76  90  77 /  40  20  40  20
GIF  91  75  90  75 /  50  30  50  20
SRQ  87  78  87  77 /  50  30  50  20
BKV  89  74  88  74 /  50  30  50  20
SPG  89  78  88  79 /  50  30  50  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/Hubbard
UPPER AIR...05/Carlisle
DECISION SUPPORT...13/Oglesby


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