Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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Drought Information Statement for North and Central Georgia
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
918 AM EDT Thu Jun 8 2017

...SEVERE DROUGHT ENDS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...
...IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
...THIS IS THE FINAL DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SYNOPSIS...

North and central Georgia has remained in a wet and active period
over the last 14 days, with prolonged periods of heavy rainfall. As
a result of these high rainfall amounts, significant improvement in
drought conditions have continued. Drought conditions have ended
across a majority of the area, with only pockets of Abnormally Dry
or Moderate Drought conditions. With continued improvement expected,
and an end to Severe Drought conditions, this will be the final
Drought Information Statement.

Over the last two weeks, multiple waves of precipitation have
impacted the area, often only separated by a day or less, keeping
soils moist and daily rainfall totals high. Isolated flash flooding
occurred as a result of long-duration, persistent rain. Climate site
rainfall deficits continue to improve, with percent of normal values
for the 90-day period (short term) ranging from 95 to 180 percent,
and for the 365-day period (long term) between 70 and 100 percent.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
Due to recent rainfall, conditions in the shallow soil profile are
Abnormally Moist over north Georgia, and Favorably Moist elsewhere.
The deeper soil profile still highlights the Moderate Drought over a
majority of the state, with Near Normal conditions in the remaining
area. These analyses do not fully encapsulate the rainfall over the
last 72-hours and may not be representative of the soil conditions
as they stand today.

Overall, drought conditions have ended across a majority of north
and central Georgia. An Abnormally Dry to Moderate Drought area
remains in the headwaters of the Chattahoochee Basin, in portions of
Lumpkin and White counties. Another Moderate Drought area remains in
portions of middle Georgia, extending from Jackson, to
Milledgeville, to Kite. Abnormally Dry conditions generally form a
one-county periphery around the Moderate Drought area. Continued
improvement is expected through June.

RIVER AND STREAM FLOW CONDITIONS.
Average stream flows for the last 14-days are running normal to
high. Following the persistent rainfall this week, generally above
normal to high stream flow conditions are occurring across north and
central Georgia. Real-time ground water conditions are largely
normal to above normal.  Please note that creeks and smaller rivers
can change quickly due to runoff from heavy rain if it occurs.

FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.
The latest fire danger assessment indicates a Low to Moderate risk
across the majority of north Georgia, north of a line from Columbus,
to Dallas, to Cumming, to Athens, to Toccoa. South of this line
there is a Moderate to High risk. Please note that this assessment
can change rapidly due to changes in moisture levels and rainfall
received.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

Over the last two weeks, 2 to 10 inches of rainfall occurred over
north and central Georgia. The highest rainfall totals occurred over
far north and northwest Georgia. In this area, generally north of a
line from Rome, to Calhoun, to Dawsonville, to Blairsville, rainfall
amounts of 3 to 8 inches were observed, with isolated amounts up to
10 inches, or 150 to 600 percent of normal.

The lowest rainfall amounts occurred over portions of the south
greater metro Atlanta area, and in far east central Georgia,
extending north and south of a line from Milledgeville to Warrenton.
In these areas, rainfall amounts were 0.25 to 2 inches, or 25 to 90
percent of normal.

Outside of these two regions, rainfall amounts varied from 1.5 to 4
inches, with locally higher amounts. These rainfall amounts were
generally 110 to 300 percent of normal.

Given that portions of the state have been affected by both a long
term and, more recently, a short term drought, two tables have been
provided below. The first table indicates the the total rainfall and
departures for the last 365 days (long term drought), while the
second is for the last 90 days (short term drought).

Location    Total Rainfall   Normal    Departure     Percent
               365 Days      Value    from Normal   of Normal

ATLANTA         43.70        49.71       -6.01         88%
ATHENS          46.98        46.33        0.65        101%
COLUMBUS        41.31        46.75       -5.44         88%
MACON           40.61        45.68       -5.07         89%
CARTERSVILLE    43.96        49.93       -5.97         88%
NE ATLANTA      40.68        52.97      -12.29         77%
WEST ATLANTA    38.50        51.17      -12.67         75%
GAINESVILLE     40.93        53.98      -13.05         76%
PEACHTREE CITY  36.26        49.99      -13.73         73%
ROME            44.80        51.92       -7.12         86%

Location    Total Rainfall   Normal    Departure     Percent
               90 Days       Value    from Normal   of Normal

ATLANTA         14.61        11.16        3.45        131%
ATHENS          17.85        10.09        7.76        177%
COLUMBUS        11.01        11.40       -0.39         97%
MACON           12.34         9.69        2.65        127%
CARTERSVILLE    17.60        12.04        5.56        146%
NE ATLANTA      15.31        12.02        3.29        127%
WEST ATLANTA    14.14        11.61        2.53        122%
GAINESVILLE     18.46        12.25        6.21        151%
PEACHTREE CITY  11.30        11.71       -0.41         96%
ROME            17.84        12.57        5.27        142%


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

Current lake levels at several USACE Projects were below summer pool
levels, ranging between 6 and 6.5 feet below summer pool at
Hartwell, Lanier and Thurmond. These pool elevations have increased
half a foot over the last 14 days. The other USACE project
elevations ranged from at summer pool to 0.5 foot above summer pool.

After an initial rise this week with the recent rainfall, the pool
levels are projected to remain nearly steady or rise slightly over
the next four weeks.

Summer pool level are considered the target elevation through the
summer and into the fall months, and the elevation departure will be
relative to the summer pool level until further notice.

Lake        Summer Pool   Current Level   Departure
                                          in feet
Allatoona       840          839.99        -0.01
Carters        1074         1074.06        +0.06
Hartwell        660          653.99        -6.01
Lanier         1071         1064.62        -6.38
Thurmond        330          323.56        -6.44
West Point      635          635.50        +0.50

Additional lake levels are available at the link provided in the
RELATED WEBSITES section below.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

For the rest of June...the outlook for north and central Georgia is
for below normal temperatures and above normal chances of
precipitation.

90 Day Outlook...for June through August...above normal temperatures
and equal chances of above or below normal precipitation are
expected.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

This is the final Drought Information Statement, and no additional
issuances are scheduled at this time. Drought Information Statements
will resume when Severe Drought conditions develop over north or
central Georgia.

&&

RELATED WEBSITES...

Additional information on current drought conditions may be found
at the following websites:

NWS WFO Atlanta:  www.weather.gov/atlanta
NWS WFO Atlanta - Drought Resources: weather.gov/ffc/raindef
NWS WFO Atlanta - Lake Levels: weather.gov/ffc/rrm
NOAA AHPS - Rainfall Totals: water.weather.gov/precip
U.S. Drought Portal: www.drought.gov
U.S. Drought Monitor: www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu
Climate Prediction Center: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
Office of the Georgia State Climatologist:
    epd.georgia.gov/office-state-climatologist
U.S. Geological Survey - Water Resources of Georgia:
    ga.water.usgs.gov
Georgia Forestry Commission - Fire Weather Assessments:
    weather.gfc.state.ga.us/maps/fdf1.gif


ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

This data was furnished by the National Weather Service in
cooperation with the U.S. Geological Survey, the Georgia State
Climatologist in Atlanta, the Georgia Environmental Protection
Division, and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Current Fire Danger
Assessments were provided by the Georgia Forestry COmmission.


QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

If you have any questions or comments about this Drought Information
Statement, please contact:

NWS WFO Atlanta
4 Falcon Drive Peachtree City, GA 30269
Phone: 770-486-1133
Email: sr-ffc.webmaster@noaa.gov

$$

Belanger



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