Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
888
FNUS54 KMAF 090821
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
321 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Near critical and/or localized critical fire weather conditions are
possible this afternoon, mainly across the higher elevations of SE
NM/SW TX. RHs today will be below 15% this afternoon for all but the
NE Permian Basin, but lighter winds than previous days preclude more
significant fire weather concerns. IA potential remains high given
ERCs above the 80th percentile across the west and dry to critically
dry fuels, thus have handled today`s concerns with an RFD, mainly for
the higher terrain from the Guadalupe Mtns south to the Big Bend,
where stronger westerly 20ft are possible. A cold front this evening
and tonight mitigates concerns through Sat, with cooler temps and
increased rain chances, especially late Fri/Sat. Fire weather concerns
may return Sun as a warming and drying trend begins.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-092145-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
221 AM MDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-1) 46 (-6) 72
RH % (24h trend) 8 (0) 66 (+41) 29
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 9 W 12 NE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 14 NE 10 E 11
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 27 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11460 4390
Transport Wnd (kts) W 24 E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 275040 61460
Vent Category Excellent Good
RFTI 3 3 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-092145-
Chaves Plains-
221 AM MDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 86 (-2) 49 (-3) 76
RH % (24h trend) 9 (+2) 65 (+35) 29
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 9 SE 13 NE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 9 E 15 SE 11
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 6 2
Wind 10000 FT MSL 12 24 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12310 6250
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 16 E 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 196960 106250
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 1 2 0
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-092145-
Eddy Plains-
221 AM MDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 90 (-1) 53 (-5) 76
RH % (24h trend) 8 (0) 68 (+44) 36
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 9 W 13 NE 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14 E 13 E 10
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 26 24 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11760 5120
Transport Wnd (kts) W 21 E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 246960 66560
Vent Category Excellent Good
RFTI 3 4 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-092145-
Lea-
221 AM MDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 88 (-1) 50 (-5) 75
RH % (24h trend) 8 (+1) 71 (+38) 31
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 8 SE 12 E 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10 E 15 E 13
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 21 23 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11260 5930
Transport Wnd (kts) W 16 E 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 180160 106740
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 2 2 0
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-092145-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
321 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 /221 AM MDT Thu May 9 2024/
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (+1) 50 (-7) 69
RH % (24h trend) 8 (-1) 62 (+35) 35
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 22 W 18 NE 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 26 NE 14 E 16
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 39 28 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8640 2890
Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 E 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 233280 57800
Vent Category Excellent Fair
RFTI 6 6 0
RFTI Category Critical Critical Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-092145-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
321 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 95 (+3) 53 (-9) 86
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-2) 71 (+48) 20
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11 NW 10 NE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 16 N 8 E 12
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 25 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10920 5250
Transport Wnd (kts) W 23 NE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 251160 89250
Vent Category Excellent Good
RFTI 4 5 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-092145-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
321 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10
Temp (24h trend) 95 (+1) 56 (-6) 78
RH % (24h trend) 6 (-2) 84 (+46) 37
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 9 N 11 NE 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 13 NE 11 E 12
LAL 1 1 2
Haines Index 4 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 22 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10050 4980
Transport Wnd (kts) W 20 E 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 201000 94620
Vent Category Excellent Good
RFTI 2 2 0
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 70. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$