Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 271653
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CADE PILES...USFS KNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
853 AM PST FRI FEB 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON FEBRUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW IS MOVING SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA TODAY
BRINGING SHOWERS ALONG. AS WELL, EXPECT WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW AND
CLOUDY SKIES.  THIS AFTERNOON ...THERE IS A  SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCES ARE EXPECTED IN THE SISKIYOUS,
CASCADES AND TO THE EAST. HOWEVER CANNOT RULE OUT A THUNDERSTORM
NEAR THE BURN AREA WITH AROUND A 10 TO 15 PERCENT PROBABLY THIS
AFTERNOON.

SHOWERS GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AS THE LOW CONTINUES SOUTH OVER CALIFORNIA. A COLD AND DRY NORTHEAST
FLOW WILL FOLLOW SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AHEAD OF A WEAKER
LOW WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL LIKELY DOMINATE THE REST OF THE WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. MOSTLY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN TO 2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN OSBORNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150227.CADEP.01/MFR



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