020
FNUS76 KMFR 140652
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Rogger...ODF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1152 PM PDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 PDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...An inversion is currently in place and will remain
less than 700 feet all night. Wind speeds will generally be light
overnight but an occasional gust to 12-15 mph is within reason.
Wind speeds tomorrow will have some wind shifts and will be breezy
in the afternoon with occasional gusts around 20 mph. Deep mixing
is anticipated tomorrow afternoon. The more notable thing for
tomorrow is the potential for an isolated thunderstorm or two in
the afternoon and early evening hours which could cause some
gusty and erratic winds in addition to the lightning threat.
These chances are low around 20 percent.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........39 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds around 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0
Chc of ltng (%).0         0
Temp............75        70
RH..............29        36
20 FT wind......NE 9G14   NE 9G14
Eye level wind..NE 3G5    NE 3G5
Mix hgt (ft)....600       600
Transport wind..NE 15     NE 13

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of lightning.17 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north late in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    north 8 to 10 mph late in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 10 mph shifting to the north
                    around 8 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the west around 10 mph late in the afternoon
                    shifting to the northwest around 12 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....                    S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of ltng (%).0         0         10        20
Temp............66        74        84        88
RH..............39        35        23        18
20 FT wind......NE 8G12   NE 7G11   N 7G11    NW 7G10
Eye level wind..NE 3G5    NE 3G4    N 3G4     NW 3G4
Mix hgt (ft)....600       1800      4200      11100
Transport wind..NE 10     E 8       N 8       W 10

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
                    chance of showers in the evening. Haze early in
                    the evening. Haze early in the morning.
Chance of lightning.17 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........43 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds up to 4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 15 mph decreasing to 10 to 12 mph
                    overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....SCH SCH DEF DEF DEF                         DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  HAZ HAZ HAZ                         HAZ
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............89  87  84  79  76  75  73  70  67  64  63  62
RH..............17  19  22  26  27  28  31  35  37  40  42  43
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   11  11  11  7   7   7   5
20 FT wind gust.13  13  14  14  14  17  17  17  11  11  11  8
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   4   4   4   3
Mix hgt (kft)...9.2 9.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  12  15  15  15  12  12  12  10

$$
Forecaster...GUERRERO
Requested by...Scott Havel
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517952.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov