Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 230316
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Goosenest Eastside Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
716 PM PST Thu Feb 22 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...After a dry Friday, the next system is poised to
arrive at the burn site early Saturday morning. This system will
bring some light snow to the area with up to three quarters of an
inch forecast. The snow is expected to become showery in nature on
Saturday evening. Then after a very short break, the next system
will arrive on Sunday night which could bring more significant
snowfall. Winds will be somewhat gusty, especially on Saturday, but
humidities will also be higher.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning then becoming partly
                    cloudy.
Max temperature.....33 to 35 degrees.
Min humidity........38 to 43 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....West 3 to 5 mph with gusts to 15mph.
Mixing height.......Surface increasing to 3200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 13 mph becoming northwest.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of snow after
                    4 AM. A new dusting of snow possible.
Min temperature.....18 to 20 degrees.
Max humidity........80 to 85 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....West 0 to 2 mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL decreasing to the surface after
                    sunset.
Transport winds.....West 5 mph increasing to 18 mph after 4 AM.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of snow. New
                    snow amounts of a half an inch possible.
Max temperature.....32 to 34 degrees
Min humidity........58 to 63 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southwest 1 to 3 mph becoming west 7 to 10
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph becoming northwest 35 to 40
                    mph the afternoon.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower
20s. Highs 34 to 42. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.MONDAY...
Snow showers likely. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs 33 to 42. West
winds 7 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows around 14. Highs in
the lower 30s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SCHAAF
Requested by...Riley Spivey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1801448.6/MFR



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