Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 311143
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FROG...USFS MODOC NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
443 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0003 PDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...NEAR CRITICAL WINDS AND HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...VERY HOT AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY. GUSTY SOUTH
WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON AND THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND
HUMIDITY WILL BE NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
INCREASES TOMORROW AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY TRIGGER SOME
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE INCIDENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE VERY GOOD BOTH DAYS WITH BRIEF DECOUPLING AT NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....97-100.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-11 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING, BECOMING SOUTH
                    4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10,000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST TO SOUTHEAST INCREASING TO 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING, BECOMING SOUTH
                    5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10,000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN MACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150731.FROG_.01/MFR



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