Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 212346
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTLER SALMON SITE PREP...USFS KNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
446 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE INLAND LATE TODAY AND
TONIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT BY AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INLAND OVER THE
AREA.  RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA BY THIS
EVENING. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING
THROUGH TONIGHT. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.
THEN ANOTHER FRONT WITH SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION ARRIVES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL
                      LATE IN THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12-15 MPH INCREASING TO 20-25 MPH IN THE
                      EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                      IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
CWR.................25 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20-25 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4-7 MPH LOWERING TO 3-5 MPH LATE
                     IN THE MORNING AND IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                     EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO 15 MPH
                     LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...ERIC GREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.BUTLE.01/MFR







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