Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC
AGUS74 KFWR 091626
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1026 AM CST MON DEC 9 2013
VALID DECEMBER 9 THROUGH DECEMBER 14
...RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO NORTH TEXAS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS...
A cold front is currently moving across the Red River basin and will
progress southeastward into Texas throughout the day. Unlike the
previous disturbances, the moisture will be limited with this storm
and widespread precipitation is not expected.
Meanwhile, a closed low continues to develop off the southern
California coast and will slowly drift into the great southwest
starting Thursday. Shortwave disturbances ahead of this system will
interact with Gulf moisture flowing into southern Texas as an upper
level air flow draws moisture from the Pacific across northern
Mexico into far west Texas. This system is modeled to bring
precipitation into the Big Bend region moving northeast into central
Texas Thursday evening. As the system eventually spreads out over
the eastern half of Texas and along the coast, light to moderate
totals of precipitation are expected. This system will exit the
eastern portions of the WGRFC next weekend.
For Today into Tuesday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.
For Tuesday into Wednesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.
For Wednesday into Thursday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.
For Thursday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 1 inch
are forecast for the eastern half of Texas. The heaviest amounts are
expected to fall in far east Texas.
The drought situation in Texas continues to improve with less than
6% of the state in extreme drought in some isolated areas. New
Mexico is improving as well with only 4% of that state in extreme
drought, however all of New Mexico still remains in some level of
Residual flood conditions exist in the Neches basin on the Neches
River near Neches (NCST2) where the river continues to fall.
...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
All other WGRFC area rivers are below bank full. No significant
flooding is expected in the next 5 days.
...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts. This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.
For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
National Precipitation Analysis:
The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
The US Drought Assessment: