Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 271643
HMDMSR

Hydrometeorological Forecast Discussion
NWS North Central River Forecast Center Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1143 AM CDT Fri May 27 2016

...Precipitation...
Showers and thunderstorms brought another day of widespread
rainfall to the NCRFC region. The heaviest rain fell just to the
west of the RFC boundary in Iowa and Missouri where between two
and four inches fell.  In the region the Meramec basin received
between an inch and two and a half inches. The remainder of the
region...except for most of Minnesota and most of lower Michigan
which were relatively dry...received between a quarter and half
inch of rain.

Heavy rain is forecast from Missouri to southern Minnesota and
southern Wisconsin today into Saturday morning.  Between and inch
and two inches could fall.  Across the remainder of the region a
quarter to half inch is possible.

The threat of heavy rain moves north into Minnesota and Wisconsin
Saturday into Sunday morning.  A half to around an inch of rain is
forecast. The remainder of the area will see a tenth to quarter
inch.

Sunday into Monday the eastern half of the region could see an
additional quarter to half inch of rain...mainly across northern
Wisconsin and the western upper peninsula of Michigan.

Rain will be widespread across the region Tuesday into Thursday.
Rainfall amounts will reach from a quarter to three quarters of an
inch in the heavier thunderstorms.


...Hydrologic Conditions...
Recent rain has produced wet antecedent conditions across much of
the NCRFC forecast area.  When combined with expected rain over
the Memorial Day weekend...levels between bankfull and a couple
feet above flood stage are forecast for portions of the Meramec
River in southeast Missouri...portions of the Des Moines River...
Illinois River and the Mississippi River near Chester IL. Some
heavier forecast rain scenarios could extend minor flooding into
Wisconsin.

For additional and more in-depth information concerning river
forecasts...precipitation and all hydrometeorological information
in the NCRFC area of responsibility...please refer to the NCRFC
web page at:     http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc

Emergency Call Back List: BAC ... RHR ... SAS ... LNE

If no response from this list... call the DOH or SCH.

$$

...rjw/lne...




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