Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FLUS45 KFGZ 260942
HWOFGZ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
242 AM MST Sun Feb 26 2017

AZZ004>018-037>040-270200-
Kaibab Plateau-Marble and Glen Canyons-Grand Canyon Country-
Coconino Plateau-Yavapai County Mountains-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-Chinle Valley-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Western Mogollon Rim-Eastern Mogollon Rim-White Mountains-
Northern Gila County-Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-Black Mesa Area-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
242 AM MST Sun Feb 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for Apache...Coconino...
Northern Gila...Navajo...and Yavapai Counties in Northern
Arizona.

.Day One...Tonight

Sunday will see a quick shot of precipitation across northern
Arizona. Snow levels will generally be in the 4500-5500 ft. range
with snow accumulations generally less than one half an inch.
Temperatures will continue to be below normal.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A winter storm warning has been issued for areas above 6000 feet
along the Mogollon Rim from late Monday morning through Tuesday
afternoon.

Monday afternoon through Tuesday will see the potential
for appreciable precipitation accumulations. The latest model runs
continue to paint a wet picture for the Monday-Tuesday period
resulting in increasing confidence for increasing precipitation
chances.

The greatest precipitation amounts are forecast over areas south
of I-40 primarily over Yavapai and Gila counties, and along the
Mogollon Rim. Snow levels are forecast to be in the 5500-6000 ft.
range. Currently it looks like snow amounts along the Mogollon Rim
will be appreciable, with Flagstaff forecast to receive around 6
inches, Show Low around 2 inches, and Alpine around 4 inches. Snow
amounts in the Chuskas also look to be appreciable, with Window
Rock forecast to receive around 5 inches, and Buffalo Pass north
of Lukachukai around 6 inches. These forecast amounts will likely
change with future model runs.

For now it appears that little to no snow accumulations are
expected for Prescott or Payson. However, rainfall amounts near
one inch will likely cause rises in creeks and streams in Yavapai
and Gila counties. No major flooding impacts are expected at this
time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions to the NWS Flagstaff Office at 1-888-745-1637.



$$


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