Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FLUS44 KLZK 031049
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-041100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DENSE FOG WILL BE NOTED THIS MORNING...MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF THE STATE. THE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN ONE
QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. IT IS EXPECTED TO SCATTER OUT IN THE HOURS
AFTER SUNRISE.

A STRONG ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION...MOVING
IN TO ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT. RAIN WILL BECOME LIKELY AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. AT THIS TIME...THE
THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS MINIMAL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE STATE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT.
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FAR NORTH AND NORTHWEST SHOULD BE BELOW
FREEZING. BY MID-DAY...THE FREEZING LINE IS EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO
I-40 AND THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE OUACHITA MOUNTAINS.  FREEZING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SEEN IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AROUND LATE
AFTERNOON.

MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MAINLY POST-FRONTAL WITH PRECIPITATION
INCREASING IN COVERAGE AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH. PRECIPITATION
SHOULD MAKE A FAIRLY RAPID TRANSITION TO SLEET...THEN SNOW IN THE
NORTH...MAINLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS. OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION...
THE TRANSITION IS EXPECTED BETWEEN MID MORNING AND MID
AFTERNOON...AND IN THE SOUTH AROUND MID OR LATE AFTERNOON.  THERE
WILL BE MORE VARIATION IN PRECIPITATION TYPE THE FURTHER SOUTH YOU
GO. OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN BEFORE THINGS TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD COME TO AN END IN THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS THURSDAY.

THIS WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MEASURABLE SLEET AND
SNOWFALL IN ALL AREAS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM NORTH CENTRAL
INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS. AT THIS POINT...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED FIVE INCHES. THE CENTRAL PORTION WILL
SEE A LONGER PERIOD OF SLEET WITH POSSIBLY A HALF INCH TO AN INCH OR
SO BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW. THIS IS INCLUDING THE LITTLE ROCK
METROPOLITAN AREA.

THE PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN WILL BE LONGEST IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
THIRD OF THE STATE...WHERE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER
INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE... WITH A FEW LOCATIONS CLOSER TO THE DELTA
REGION OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS SEEING SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS.

WITH THE SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...THERE ARE LIKELY TO BE
TRAVEL AND UTILITY ISSUES. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE IN AREAS
THAT RECEIVE HIGHER ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AND SLEET AND SNOW ON TOP OF
THAT. ANOTHER THING THAT WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF UTILITY
ISSUES WILL BE THE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH WILL BE RATHER
GUSTY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN EASTERN
AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. IT IS
QUITE LIKELY THAT AREAS WITH THE THICKEST SNOW PACK COULD STAY BELOW
FREEZING ON THURSDAY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE TEENS IN MUCH OF THE
STATE. NEAR-RECORD OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE POSSIBLE. DRY WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A WARMING TREND
NOTED.

AS ALWAYS...PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT THIS INFORMATION IS BASED ON
THE LATEST MODEL DATA. ANY CHANGE IN THE SPEED OF THE APPROACHING
FRONTAL SYSTEM COULD DELAY OR SPEED UP THE TRANSITION TO WINTRY
PRECIPITATION.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER SITUATION...AND PROVIDE
DETAILED AND UPDATED FORECASTS ACCORDINGLY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

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