Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXHW01 KWNH 161217
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
816 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

VALID 00Z WED SEP 17 2014 - 00Z WED SEP 24 2014

MODELS AND ENSEMBLES REASONABLY AGREE IN THE OVERALL WEATHER
PATTERN FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH/LOW OVER THE
STATE OVERTOP DISTRUPTED ISLAND TRADE FLOW, ALBEIT WITH A
WEAKENING FRONT LINGERING NEAR THE BIG ISLAND THAT MAY FOCUS SHORT
TERM MOISTURE AND SOME SHOWERS. EXPECT LIGHT TRADES OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AS VERY MODEST HIGH PRESSURE BRIDGES TO THE NORTH OF THE
STATE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND A SUPPORTING EASTERN PACIFIC
LOW. TRADES BECOME DISRUPTED AGAIN LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEK AS
ANOTHER FRONT WORKS TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE, LEADING AGAIN INTO
A PATTERN WITH SOME SEA/LAND BREEZE SHOWERS.

SCHICHTEL

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