Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS48 KWNS 250842
SWOD48
SPC AC 250841

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0341 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

VALID 281200Z - 021200Z

...DISCUSSION...
RELATIVELY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN IS FORECAST TO
OCCUR THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH NWLY MIDLEVEL FLOW MAINTAINED
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE CNTRL CONUS ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF
AN ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN. WHILE THIS PATTERN
WILL LIKELY FAVOR PERIODS OF STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS THE GREAT
PLAINS...PREDICTABILITY OF MESOSCALE DETAILS WILL REMAIN POOR
THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED PERIOD. GFS/ECMWF ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS
SUGGESTS A DAMPENING OF THE LARGE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CONUS WILL
OCCUR IN THE SUN/D7-MON/D8 PERIOD.

..ROGERS.. 07/25/2016


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