Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS02 KWNS 240550
SWODY2
SPC AC 240549

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL FL...

...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND POSSIBLY NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST INTO
THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MO
VALLEY ON TUESDAY AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS DOMINANT FROM THE WRN
GULF COAST STATES NEWD INTO THE OH VALLEY. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO ADVANCE SWD ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA REACHING. THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT SHOULD TAKE PLACE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER 60S
AND LOWER 70S F. THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD ENABLE SBCAPE
VALUES TO PEAK IN THE 1500 TO 2000 J/KG RANGE BY THE MID AFTERNOON.
THIS COMBINED WITH ABOUT 30 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS...SHOULD BE
ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS. HAIL COULD ALSO
OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER MULTICELL STORMS.

..BROYLES.. 11/24/2014




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