Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FGUS73 KJKL 211015
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KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-212215-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
615 AM EDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...Remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy to Bring Heavy Rainfall...

Well in advance of the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy, moisture
from the Gulf of Mexico will increase from southwest to northeast
across Eastern Kentucky on Thursday. Chances for showers will
also increase from southwest to northeast as well, with
thunderstorms that develop in the Cumberland Valley region capable
of producing locally heavy rainfall on Thursday afternoon or
evening. The strongest storms Thursday afternoon and Thursday
evening could bring a quick inch or more of rainfall.

At this time, it appears that a round of heavy rain should develop
as an approaching cold front interacts with the remnants of
Tropical Storm Cindy. This round of rain would occur from
Thursday night into Friday across locations north of the Mountain
Parkway and especially in locations near the Interstate 64
corridor and north. Rainfall from this is expected to generally
range from 1 to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts possible.

Another round of more widespread heavy rain across all of eastern
Kentucky is expected as the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy pass
to the south of the area across the Tennessee Valley and into the
Southern Appalachians Friday night into early on Saturday.
Rainfall during that period should average from 1 to 3 inches,
with locally higher amounts a possibility.

Rainfall from Thursday through Saturday is expected to range from
between 2.25 and 4.5 inches. Locally higher amounts would be
possible. Rainfall of this magnitude would cause rises on area
creeks to bankfull or in excess of bankfull. Some area rivers
would also rise to near flood stage by the weekend if heavy
rainfall materializes. In addition, any locations that receive
multiple rounds of heavy rainfall from thunderstorms could
experience flash flooding.

Uncertainty remains in the evolution and eventual track of this
system which will ultimately affect rainfall from this system.
Monitor later forecasts or updates on the threat of flooding this
weekend by listening to NOAA Weather Radio or your local media or
visit our internet website at http://www.weather.gov/jkl.

$$

JP


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