Issued by NWS Ohio RFC
AGUS71 KTIR 191438
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1038 AM EDT Wednesday, October 19, 2016
A stalled cold front will produce scattered showers today as it lingers
over the central Ohio Valley. A trough of low pressure will drop into the
basin tonight intensifying the front Thursday before exiting later on
Friday. Widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms are forecast the next
few days. By the weekend, conditions will settle down and temperatures will
be seasonably cooler. Quiet conditions will last into early next week.
...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
Some significant in-bank rises are possible with the rainfall event
unfolding this week, but no river flooding is forecast at this time.
...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Showers were scattered across the northern and central tiers of the Ohio
Valley. Some places received up to a half inch, but in general, amounts
ranged from a few hundredths up to about a quarter inch.
...72-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Showers and thunderstorms will generate a large swath of 1 to 2" in
southern IL, central/southern IN, northern KY, most of OH, northern/
western WV, western PA, and western NY. The higher end totals are forecast
in the northeast basin. The northwest and far southern parts of the Ohio
Valley should receive some rain, but amounts will mostly be 0.50" or less.
...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address: http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation