Hydrometeorological Discussion
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AGUS71 KTIR 271752
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
152 PM EDT Saturday, June 27, 2015

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Strong frontal system is currently moving slowly across the Ohio River forecast
basin...along with the slow moving precipitation associated with it.  Showers
and occasional thunderstorms will impact the eastern and northern halves of the
basin through Sunday.  Amounts should be less than the very heavy amounts seen
on Friday, but still moderate amounts with locally heavy swaths are forecast.

After the system moves through, the beginning of the upcoming week will see a
couple of reinforcing pieces of energy dig into the midwest trough, along with
some chances of light to moderate rain.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
Flooding is occurring in widespread areas of the northern Ohio River forecast
basin.  Today is seeing some continued showers through the far northern reaches
as well as an added threat in the northeast portions of the basin.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Swaths of very heavy rain fell through areas of Indiana, Ohio and West Virginia.
The Upper Wabash, Miami, and White watersheds saw totals of 4 to 5 inches plus
in scattered swaths.  Large basin-average totals of 2+ inches were seen here as
well.  One inch or greater amounts fell in widespread areas of the northern
basin as well as isolated areas of Kentucky and Tennessee.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Amounts of one and a half to two inches were forecast along the northern and
northeast fringes of the basin.  Amounts of one inch or greater were forecast
throughout the northeast quarter of the basin.  Amounts tapered off as one heads
further west and south from the heavy axis.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Saturday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
White River      Anderson              10         13.5    Steady
White River      Noblesville           14         15.3    Rising
White River      Nora                  11         11.1    Rising
White River      Centerton             12         12.2    Rising
White River      Edwardsport           15         17.6    Steady
White River      Petersburg            16         20.8    Steady
Wabash River     Bluffton              10         11.6    Steady
Wabash River     Warren                12         13.3    Falling
Wabash River     Wabash                14         18.0    Falling
Wabash River     North Mancheste        9         12.4    Rising
Wabash River     Marion                12         12.7    Falling
Wabash River     West Lafayette        11         18.1    Rising
Wabash River     Covington             16         20.4    Steady
Wabash River     Crawfordsville         8          9.1    Falling
Wabash River     Montezuma             14         25.0    Rising
Wabash River     Terre Haute           14         21.5    Steady
Wabash River     Riverton              15         23.4    Steady
Wabash River     Lawrenceville         30         34.8    Steady
Wabash River     Vincennes             16         22.5    Steady
Wabash River     Princeton             18         19.1    Steady
Wabash River     Mount Carmel          19         25.4    Steady
Wabash River     New Harmony           15         18.2    Steady
Little Wabash Ri Clay City             18         20.1    Steady
Little Wabash Ri Carmi                 27         34.4    Steady
Maumee River     Decatur               17         19.4    Rising
Maumee River     Fort Wayne            17         18.9    Rising
Maumee River     Fort Jennings         13         13.4    Rising
Maumee River     Defiance              10         10.2    Rising

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$





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