Issued by NWS Ohio RFC
AGUS71 KTIR 281431
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
931 AM EST Monday, November 28, 2016
On Monday morning a closed low pressure system was located over the northern
plains. A disturbance rotating around the southeast side of this low will bring
rains to the southwestern Ohio Valley this morning, moving east through the
basin later today and tonight.
Another wave will move around the low drawing another round of moisture into
primarily the southeastern Ohio Valley on Wednesday. This rain will likely be
heavier than today`s rains.
There is potential for yet another storm system to move into the basin from the
southwest during the weekend, but model differences provide low confidence in
details of the resulting weather and rainfall patterns.
...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
The potential for flooding is low thru the wet period this week. If any minor
flooding develops, it will likely be in the Lower Wabash or Little Wabash
...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Rain only affected Illinois, Indiana and western Kentucky. In the Ohio Valley
rains were highest at 1/4 to 1/3 inch in portions of east central Illinois.
...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Rainfall is forecast over the entire area. Basin average amounts will increase
towards the southwest with 1.25 to nearly 2 inches forecast across southern
Indiana, southern Illinois, the western 2/3 of Kentucky and middle Tennessee.
...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address: http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation