Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FXUS64 KLCH 051203
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
703 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

.AVIATION...
A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SOUTH LOUISIANA AND COASTAL
WATERS THIS AM. STORMS ARE DRIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST. OTHERWISE...
VFR WITH A FEW CU AROUND 025 TO 035.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 414 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
IT HAS BEEN HOT AND DRY FOR OVER A MONTH WITH ONLY A FEW BREAKS
AND ALMOST NO RAINFALL DURING THIS PERIOD... AND BECAUSE OF THIS
WE ARE BACK IN A DROUGHT IN SOME LOCATIONS IN SE TX AND SRN LA.
STRANGE... SINCE AT THE BEGINNING OF SUMMER WE STARTED OUT WITH
PLENTY OF WATER IN AREA PONDS AND STREAMS.

ANOTHER RESULT HAS SEEN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES RUNNING ABOUT FIVE
TO SEVEN DEGREES ABOVE 30 YEAR CLIMATE RANGE. RAINS AND CLOUDS ARE
THE BIG MECHANISM FOR MODERATING TEMPS DURING THE SUMMERTIME. THE
ISSUE HAS BEEN THE RIDGE ALOFT OVER TX/LA AND THIS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE OUR BIGGEST PROBLEM. UNTIL IT MIGRATES WE ARE ONLY LOOKING
AT A FEW AFTERNOON/ EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

THEREFORE PERSISTENCE FORECAST... HOT AND DRY WITH A FEW STORMS
DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG THE C-BRZ. THE
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX TO CLIMB ABOVE THE CENTURY MARK THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK AND CLIMBING TO AROUND 105 TO 110 DEGREES ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  97  76  97  76 /  20  20  20  10
LCH  94  78  94  78 /  20  20  10  10
LFT  94  77  95  77 /  40  40  20  10
BPT  95  77  96  77 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...04


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