Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KLCH 312326
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
626 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 01/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONVECTION IS DECREASING OVER THE FORECAST AREA AND THIS SHOULD
CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING HOURS. DURING THE
OVERNIGHT...SOME LIGHT PATCHY FOG MAY FORM WITH MVFR CONDITIONS
FROM ROUGHLY 01/10Z TO 01/14Z. ALSO...WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
EAST TEXAS...AND ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE...EXPECT SOME NOCTURNAL
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP BEFORE SUNRISE AND MOVE NEAR THE
KBPT/KLCH TAF SITES. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP DURING
THE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND SPREAD TO THE REMAINING
TAF SITES.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 413 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SYNOPSIS...WEAK LOW PRESSURE ALOFT OVER EAST TEXAS AND THE
WESTERN GULF WILL ENHANCE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS WEEK. MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
SHOULD PROVIDE A WARMING TREND AND SOMEWHAT LOWER CHANCES FOR RAIN
AFTER THE WEEKEND.

SHORT TERM...KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE WESTERN ZONES THIS EVENING DUE TO SHORT WAVE ENERGY AND
THETA RIDGING. THIS IS ALSO INDICATED ON THE HIGH RES REFRESH
MODEL. STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES ON TEMPS
AND WENT ABOVE TO THE SOUTH WHERE DEW POINTS HAVE BEEN RUNNING
HIGHER THAN PROGGED.

LONG RANGE...A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN WITH THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AS
MOISTURE DEEPENS COUPLED WITH UPPER DIFLUENCE IN RESPONSE TO THE
UPPER LOW IN EAST TEXAS. THIS MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN IN THE AREA
OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  69  90  71  93 /  10  40  30  30
LCH  75  86  73  91 /  40  40  40  30
LFT  72  89  72  90 /  20  40  20  20
BPT  77  89  74  89 /  40  40  40  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...07



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.