Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
032 FXUS65 KLKN 080821 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 121 AM PDT Wed May 8 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Look for continued cool conditions today with another breezy to windy afternoon. Isolated showers along with a clap of thunder is possible in eastern Nevada. Warmer conditions are expected tomorrow with another round of isolated showers and thunderstorms in the east tomorrow. Much warmer conditions are on the horizon for Friday through the weekend with isolated showers and thunderstorms in east-central Nevada. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Thursday night. Scattered low clouds can be seen moving across from north to south across the region this morning. Some isolated light showers are also noted on radar, though accumulations from remote observation platforms are light. For today, all models are showing a weak shortwave trough diving southward across northeastern Nevada. Light showers will develop during the late morning and afternoon with limited accumulations. Highs today will be in the 50s. Winds will be out of the north and breezy with speeds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts to 35 mph. By tonight, showers will gradually diminish though some clouds will stick around in eastern and east-central Nevada. Overnight lows will be in the 20s and 30s. The shortwave trough is expected to close off over southwestern Utah for Thursday and Thursday night. Isolated showers will again develop during the afternoon hours across eastern Nevada, with an isolated thunderstorm possible in portions of White Pine county. Winds will be breezy once again with northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Highs will be several degrees warmer than on Wednesday with readings in the 50s and 60s. The showers will diminish with skies scattering out during the overnight. Lows will be in the 30s to near 40. .LONG TERM...Friday through next Wednesday Proximity to a mid-level low that will be situated over UT/AZ border will facilitate some shower and thunderstorm activity across mainly central Nevada Friday afternoon. Atmospheric moisture content is not all that high so wetting rains are not expected, especially given the northeast to southwest storm motion expected on Friday in addition to a robust northeast surface wind across the area. Low chances, 20% or less, of light afternoon showers are expected Saturday as well. Temperatures will be on the upswing through the weekend as the low pressure trough transitions to the east and heights rise over the region. Better opportunities for rain may return Monday as a weak trough moves through the region although confidence is low. Overall pattern suggests ridging across the northern tier of CONUS with troughing over the southwest into central Plains, not exactly an ideal set up for moisture transport into the region. Temperatures will be rising though through the the weekend with widespread upper 70s to lower 80s by early next week under a northerly to northwesterly flow. Lows will only drop into the 40s and some lower 50s in some lower valleys. && .AVIATION...Generally fair weather and VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. Biggest concern will be northerly breezes this afternoon with gusts 20 to 25KTS. KWMC remains AMD NOT SKED due to a communications issue. && .HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks, and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to seasonal snow melt. Modest increases have been noted in faster responding creeks and streams due to recent rainfall and snowfall. Increased flows may additionally be noted on other streams and rivers over the next several days. However, cool temperatures through the first half of the week will continue to help mitigate high elevation snow melt and subsequent runoff. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and is forecast remain in action stage for the next several days. The Humboldt River at Comus resides in minor flood stage and is forecast to remain in minor flood stage for the next few days while gradually decreasing. The river is forecast to fall into action stage mid week. Wildhorse Dam currently resides in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days. The Owyhee River near Mountain City resides near action stage. The river is forecast to continue to range in and out of action stage for the next several days. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 86/93/92