Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-092000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
359 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2014 /259 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2014/

...ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THOUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

THE LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS INDICATE THAT A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
STALL OUT ACROSS THE REGION LATER THIS WEEK AND WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. WITH THE STALLED OUT
FRONT IN PLACE...SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES COMBINED WITH
REMNANT TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE SIMON WILL PUSH
EASTWARD THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR
REPEATED BOUTS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
EARLY NEXT WEEK A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN FROM THE WEST AND
BRING A FINAL ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION FOLLOWED BY
COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER.

CURRENT RAINFALL ACCUMULATION FORECASTS SUGGEST THAT 4 TO AS MUCH
AS 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY OCCUR FROM TODAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.
INITIALLY...THE RELATIVELY DRY GROUND WILL BE ABLE TO ABSORB SOME
OF THIS RAINFALL...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT EXCESSIVE RUNOFF
MAY DEVELOP LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND ESPECIALLY EARLY NEXT WEEK
RESULTING IN HYDROLOGIC ISSUES. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE IN
AREAS THAT RECEIVE REPEATED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE FORECAST AND RAINFALL AMOUNT THIS WEEKEND. SHOULD
SUBSEQUENT FORECAST CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL...A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER EVENT. COMPLETE LAKE
AND RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE...AT
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE


$$

MJ






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