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000
FNUS73 KMKX 251233
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Zuehlke...USFWS
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
733 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 25.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures in the upper 30s at ignition should rise quickly
into the middle 50s by midday and into the upper 50s to around 60
this afternoon. Light southeast 20 foot winds at ignition will
gradually increase later this morning but remain in the 5 to 9 MPH
range into this afternoon. Relative humidity values around 55
percent at ignition will quickly drop to around 30 percent by
midday and to 24 percent by middle afternoon. It could drop to as
low as 20 percent this afternoon.

Poor smoke dispersal values at ignition will quickly become good
by midday into this afternoon. Low mixing heights at ignition will
quickly rise above 4000 feet AGL by midday and 5000 feet AGL by
middle afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........38 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................59 percent at ignition...Min 23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 2 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    southeast 5 to 9 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /2900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /51000 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  22  8   7   5   3   3   3   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............38  43  50  53  56  57  58  58  59  57
RH..............59  49  36  32  29  28  26  25  24  25
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   7   8   10  10  11  11  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.2 1.8 3.1 4.4 4.8 5.1 5.1 4.8 4.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   8   8   9   10  12  12  13
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10003   6   11  22  31  39  46  51  49  47

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 37.
RH..................Max 88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (39900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5   6   7   8   9   10  10  11  15  19  23  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  52  46  43  41  40  39  38  39  39  39  38
RH..............29  35  45  53  62  64  70  76  73  76  79  85
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.12  11  10  10  10  10  11  12  13  14  14  17
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  14  13  13  14  14  14  15  17  17  17  17
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100040  9   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7   8   8

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely in
                    the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 59.
RH..................Min 41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 31
                    mph increasing to 32 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 17 to 26 mph increasing to 28 to 29
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (48300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  47  56  66  75  79  83  87  89  90  92  94
Weather cov.....                            LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............39  41  46  50  53  56  57  58  58  58  57  56
RH..............82  76  63  54  48  43  42  42  44  45  49  53
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  11  12  13  14  15  15  16  16  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.18  19  20  21  22  23  23  24  24  25  25  26
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.17  18  24  25  25  24  25  26  28  28  29  29
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10009   11  26  33  38  38  43  48  48  45  44  41

$$
Forecaster...Cronce
Requested by...Sean
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412426.0/MKX
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sean_sallmann@fws.gov