Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 021148
AFDEWX
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
648 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.AVIATION...12Z TAF CYCLE/

VFR CONDITIONS ONGOING THIS MORNING WITH SOME SHALLOW GROUND FOG
ACROSS NEAR THE CENTRAL TAF SITES BUT NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
FEW/SCT040-050 CUMULUS DECK WILL DEVELOP LATE MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTN WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING TO NEAR 10 KT FROM THE SOUTH. KDRT
COULD GUST TO 15-20 KT AT TIMES THIS AFTN. WINDS WILL CALM AND
CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE NEAR SUNSET WITH VFR PREVAILING THROUGH MOST
OF THE OVERNIGHT. MVFR MAY RETURN BY 11-13Z FOR KSAT/KSSF AND
POSSIBLY KDRT AND HAVE HEDGED TAFS THAT DIRECTION WITH LOW SCT025
DECK FOR NOW. WILL NEED TO MONITOR TRENDS IF ADDITIONAL LOW-LVL
MOISTURE RETURN HELPS PROMOTE THIS CLOUD DEVELOPMENT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE MAINLY DRY ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS TODAY WITH FAIR WX CU DEVELOPING AND THIN...HIGH CIRRUS
FROM THE NORTH STREAMING IN. CONVECTION UPSTREAM ACROSS NORTHWEST
TEXAS SHOULD WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BEFORE REACHING THE HILL
COUNTRY...AS INDICATED BY SEVERAL HI RESOLUTION MODELS. DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...POTENTIALLY MORE MORNING
STRATUS WEDNESDAY MORNING ALONG THE EDGE OF THE ESCARPMENT INTO
THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...THE MID AND UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE
THURSDAY AND THE RIGHT ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN SUBSIDENT CONDITIONS AND WARMING
HIGHS THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE LOW 90S OVER THE
WEEKEND WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MID 90S. THE RIDGE WILL HOLD
NEAR THE AREA MONDAY...THEN MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE THE RIDGE
MAY FLATTEN AND MOVE WEST DURING THE MID WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              88  68  88  68  90 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  88  66  88  66  89 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     88  66  89  67  89 /   0   0   0   0  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            87  66  87  67  88 /  -    0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           90  70  91  71  92 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        88  67  88  67  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             87  67  88  68  90 /   0   0   0   0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        87  67  87  67  88 /   0   0   0   0  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   88  67  87  68  89 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       88  68  88  69  89 /   0   0   0   0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           88  68  88  69  90 /   0   0   0   0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...ALLEN
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...76




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