Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 290957
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
300 AM MST TUE JUL 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A DRIER WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING LESS SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH STORMS LIMITED TO THE
AFTERNOONS AND EARLY EVENINGS. STARTING FRIDAY...DEEPER MOISTURE
SHOULD SLOWLY RETURN TO THE AREA WITH BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CLOUDS ARE CLEARING THE
NORTHLAND FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY THIS MORNING. PROGS CONTINUE TO
SHOW DRIER AIR TO MOVE INTO NORTHWEST AZ TODAY AND SPREAD
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO MUCH LESS SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE
40 AND YAVAPAI COUNTY. THE FORECAST CHANGES WERE TO REMOVE PRECIP
CHANCES FROM 11 PM TO 11 AM FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT AROUND THE WHITE
MTS WHERE STORMS MAY GET A START BY LATE MORNING. NIGHTTIME SKY
COVER SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR BY MIDNIGHT.

FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PROGS SHOW THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER TO BEGIN
MOVING FROM ARIZONA ON FRIDAY INTO SW COLORADO BY SUNDAY. WIND
STREAMLINES BECOME EASTERLY AND INCREASE IN DEPTH WHICH SHOULD LEAD
TO DEEPER MOISTURE RETURNING TO NORTHERN ARIZONA. THUS PRECIP
CHANCES AND EXPECTED CLOUD COVER INCREASE STARTING FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AFTER 18Z TODAY...CONTINUING INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS BEFORE ENDING OVERNIGHT. MVFR VSBY AND WIND
GUSTS UP TO 35KTS PSBL IN THE STRONGER STORMS...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT
SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZES OTHERWISE. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF









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