Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 270643
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
143 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE IS RIDGING ACROSS
THE FL PENINSULA. A DRY COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING FROM THE NW...BUT
WITH LITTLE/NO DEEP LAYER MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...JUST A FEW CLOUDS
EXPECTED LATER TODAY AS THE BOUNDARY CROSSES THE LOCAL AREA. WINDS
WILL INCREASE BY LATE MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS...WITH
BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED CLOSER TO THE COAST...BUT SPEEDS WILL
REMAIN UNDER WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. COOL CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
TODAY UNDER UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING...WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S/AROUND 60 FOR SE GA...AND LOWER/MID 60S FOR NE FL.

CLEAR SKIES AND DECREASING WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT...RESULTING IN
EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING. A LIGHT FREEZE IS BECOMING MORE OF
A LIKELYHOOD FOR ALL INLAND AREAS ALONG WITH AREAS OF FROST. THUS
WILL ISSUE A FREEZE WATCH TNGT FOR ALL OF NE FL EXCEPT SAINT
JOHNS AND FLAGLER COUNTIES...WITH 3-6 HOURS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES
LIKELY. THE CHILLIEST DAY OF THE COOL SPELL WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY
DESPITE FULL SUNSHINE...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 50S FOR SE GA
AND NE FL...WITH TEMPS AROUND 60 FOR NORTH-CENTRAL FL.


.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH ANOTHER
NIGHT OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST. THE
SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST THROUGH MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
MODERATING. SATURDAY WILL BE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL AGAIN...WITH
READINGS NEAR/ABOVE NORMAL FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

A STRONGER HIGH WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH ONSHORE FLOW LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
COASTAL SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WITH WINDS 1000-2000 FEET ABOVE
THE SURFACE MAXIMIZING LATE TNGT...ALONG WITH LIGHT SURFACE WINDS...WILL
USE LLWS FOR ALL PORTS UNTIL THE MID/LATE MORNING SURFACE WIND
INCREASE.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE ONCE AGAIN AT BUOY 41008 WITH SPEEDS
REACHING CAUTION ONCE AGAIN. THIS WIND SURGE WILL WORK SOUTH ACROSS
THE WATERS THIS MORNING...THUS WILL CONTINUE THE SCA FOR THE OFFSHORE
WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH CAUTION FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS. WINDS
WILL FALL BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS BY FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE
OVER THE LOCAL WATERS FOR THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH BENIGN
CONDITIONS.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH FRIDAY WITH OFFSHORE FLOW TODAY AND
SIDESHORE FLOW FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  58  32  55  31 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  60  38  56  38 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  61  33  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  63  38  57  43 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  63  33  58  35 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  65  33  60  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-GILCHRIST-
     HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA
     TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA
     BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-ST
     AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

ALLEN/STRUBLE





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