Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 232330 AAA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
530 PM CST Tue Jan 23 2018

VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 333 PM CST Tue Jan 23 2018/

Solutions generally agree that an upper trough over northwest
Mexico will close off later tonight, then edge northeast into west
Texas Thursday. antecedent moisture levels will be extremely low
while accompanying moisture also look meager. Perhaps could see
slightly better low level moisture by early Thursday. Breezy
conditions expected to develop both Wednesday and Thursday with
above normal temperatures. Expecting slightly relaxed surface
pressure gradient Friday, otherwise still mild in advance of a
weak cold front expected to slide southward into the area late
Friday night and early Saturday leading to minor cooling as a
stronger upper trough steers by to the north. A gradual warming
trend should ensue Sunday into early next week while remaining
dry. Stronger trough currently depicted carving across the
northern plains for the middle of next week - we`ll be watching
trends in the days to come. Minor changes overall from previous
forecast. RMcQueen

Wind speeds will gradually increase back into breezy category
Wednesday and Thursday as surface low pressure deepens over the
high plains. Humidity levels Wednesday will be low enough that
elevated fire danger is possible. For Thursday, humidity levels
are uncertain as a weak upper trough passes overhead. But ERC
(Energy Release Component) levels have trended higher over recent
weeks so any possibility of significant wind could lead to higher
threat of wildfire spread. RMcQueen




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