Area Forecast Discussion
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FXPQ60 PGUM 172154
AFDPQ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
754 AM ChST Sat Nov 18 2017

.Marianas Synopsis...
Scattered clouds and a few showers are occurring across the
Marianas early this morning. Moderate trade winds and combined
seas of 5 to 7 feet are being reported.

&&

.Discussion...
An overall dry pattern is in store for the next week and only
minor changes were made to the forecast. Some of the guidance is
hinting at some more cloudiness and possibly a chance of
thunderstorms around Wednesday as some increased convergence
moves by. Seas are expected to remain with a northeast swell
through Monday before a secondary northwest swell arrives on
Tuesday.

&&

.Eastern Micronesia...
A trough that had been extending into Eastern Micronesia from a
tropical disturbance southwest of Chuuk is beginning to lose its
definition. Weather will remain relative dry (for wet season, at
least) through Sunday. Increased convection, currently east of the
Date Line, is expected to arrive in Majuro and Kosrae around
Monday and in Pohnpei around Tuesday. Winds will remain benign
through the period. Seas, although a bit elevated, will still be
below most descriptions of hazardous, so no advisories are
foreseen.

&&

.Western Micronesia...
Convection associated with a tropical disturbance is sliding south
of Chuuk and well south of Yap. It had been over Koror earlier,
but is now moving off to the west. Weather is expected to be low
key here with few or no patterns of scattered showers foreseen.
Winds will also remain benign. Similarly, while seas will be a bit
elevated, they will still fall short of hazardous levels, so no
advisories are anticipated.

&&

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...None.
Marianas Waters...None.
&&

$$

Nierenberg/Stanko



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