Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 161533
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1033 AM EST Mon Jan 16 2017

.UPDATE...
East to southeast flow will continue to bring plenty of moisture
westward from the Atlantic Ocean and this will remain trapped
under the subsidence inversion leading to more broken
stratocumulus across much of the region. Could see a couple of
light showers/sprinkles this afternoon, especially across the
southern half of the area where moisture is slightly higher, but
rainfall amounts will remain very light with the chance of
measurable rain less than 20 percent. Overall current forecast
looks on track with no morning update planned.

&&

.AVIATION...
General VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period across
west- central and southwest Florida. Expect a sct-bkn stratocu
deck through much of the period with bases between 4-6kft feet.
Light easterly winds shift to southeast later this morning and
afternoon and then back to east toward sunset this evening.

&&

.MARINE...
East to southeast flow will persist into midweek with wind speeds
less than 15 knots and seas 3 feet or less. The west coast sea
breeze will attempt to develop near the coast this afternoon, but
will likely be confined to mainly the Nature Coast.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  79  61  78  63 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  81  60  81  61 /  10  10   0   0
GIF  80  58  80  60 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  79  60  76  59 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  80  56  79  54 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  76  62  75  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...69/Close
UPPER AIR...42/Norman
DECISION SUPPORT...05/Carlisle



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