Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
FXUS62 KTBW 251836
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
236 PM EDT Tue Oct 25 2016
Benign weather expected to continue into the day tomorrow as high
pressure will continue to dominate local weather. Lows tonight
will be warmer than the last few nights with low to mid 60s
expected across the area. Strong high pressure to the north of
the area will allow NE/E wind regime to continue Wednesday
although it is expected to become breezy area wide after sunrise.
Temperatures on Wednesday will be a few degrees above
climatological norms with mid 80s expected across the area.
High pressure surface and aloft will maintain pleasant dry weather
across the entire forecast area through the forecast period with
mainly clear nights and partly cloudy days expected. With surface
high pressure remaining to our north a breezy easterly wind flow can
be expected through the period as the gradient remains rather tight
with brief periods of cautionary or even low end small craft level
winds likely over the adjacent Gulf waters each night.
Temperatures will run slightly above normal with overnight lows
around 60 to the lower 60s across the Nature Coast, lower to mid 60s
central zones, and upper 60s south and along the coast with daytime
highs climbing into the lower to mid 80s each afternoon.
VFR expected to prevail through the period with NE to E flow
persisting. After sunrise tomorrow, winds look to get gusty in the
15-20 kt range.
Raised a small craft advisory for southern and central waters
beginning this evening and continuing into Friday morning. Winds
will subside below 20 knots at times, especially during the
afternoon hours, but will quickly ramp back up to SCA levels a few
hours after sunset the next few days. SCEC conditions expected
across the northern offshore waters tonight with SCA likely needing
to be expanded to this area for tomorrow night during the next
.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA 65 85 67 84 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 66 85 68 85 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 63 84 65 84 / 0 0 10 0
SRQ 65 85 68 85 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 60 85 64 84 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 67 84 69 84 / 0 0 0 0
FL...Beach Hazards Statement through Thursday evening for
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT
Friday for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to
Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood
to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita
Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.
SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...11/McKaughan
MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...57/McMichael