Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FGUS74 KMOB 021703

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1103 AM CST Thu Mar 2 2017

...A Below Normal Spring Flood Potential Expected for Southeast
Mississippi, Southwest Alabama and the Western Florida

Historically, river flood season begins in early to mid January,
peaks in early to mid March, then ends in late April into the
beginning of May.

Rainfall across the region in the last 30 days ranged from a bit
above normal east of the Alabama River to well below normal over
and west of the Alabama River. Current streamflows are running
below normal, with a few streams reporting well below normal.

Medium and long range precipitation guidance is suggesting an
around to a bit drier than average weather pattern through March.
With this, an average to below average number and magnitude of
flooding events are expected this spring. This is supported by the
Long Term Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts, available at:


under the "Experimental Long Range River Flood Risk" tab.

Future precipitation...The latest 8-14 Day and 30-day outlooks
issued by the Climate Prediction Center are indicating around
normal rain over the region through March. See the Climate
Prediction Center web site at:


for more information.

Additional and current weather information can be found at:


For more detailed information concerning river states and
forecasts, go to:


For a precipitation analysis, go to:



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