173
FNUS53 KGRR 110709
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
309 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

...Cooler with light rain early Saturday, drier and warmer Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...
Could be a few sprinkles this morning, otherwise expect a dry
Saturday afternoon and Sunday. Next chance for rain is Sunday night
and Monday. Temperatures will again be on the cool side Saturday
with a warming trend still on track to begin Sunday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-112015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
309 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1280 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 300-800 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2000-2500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft
                    AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-440 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2900-3400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500-820 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-112015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
309 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....820-1080 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-520 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....410-860 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-112015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
309 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4100-4600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1170-1340 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1300-1800
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-250 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4100-4600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....390-840 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-112015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
309 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1030-1270 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-470 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....370-780 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-112015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
309 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 PM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1360-1530 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-410 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-790 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest
winds 7 to 12 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. North winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds 9 to 14 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 8 to
13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s.

$$