Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 271927
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

...Mainly Dry through Early Next Week...

.DISCUSSION...
There will be a slight chance of a shower or storm this afternoon, and
Friday morning/afternoon as a wave of low pressure moves through the
area. Most areas will remain dry.

Then from late Friday through mid-week next week, a dry period is
expected for the area. Temperatures will start out cool Friday into
Saturday. A gradual warming can then be expected, with temperatures
becoming very warm and humid by next Wednesday. The next chance for
appreciable rain will likely hold off until at least next Thursday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-280815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1100-1600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to
                    800-1300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 4
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7900-8400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1900-2400 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4400-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent near Lake Michigan and 35-40
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 6
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6900-7400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-280815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 500-1000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6800-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-280815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2300-2800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to
                    900-1400 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7800-8300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-280815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 26
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7800-8300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-280815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6800-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to
6 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.

$$



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