Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 250654
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
254 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

...Sunshine by Friday Afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...
The storm that was centered over Northern Kentucky Thursday evening will
redevelop into a powerful coastal storm near Long Island New York by Friday
morning. That will allow a high pressure ridge to move into this area, which
in turn will allow for some sunshine pleasant afternoon tempeatures with light
winds. The next system will move into our area late in the weekend so Saturday
should be warmer with a least some sunshine.


MIZ037>039-043>045-252015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
254 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200 until 1500. slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1600.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2100. chance of rain
                    showers until 2200. Areas of fog after 0300.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 200-700 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to
                    800-1300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 0900.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 49-54
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4500-5000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-252015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
254 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.19 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0600, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph until midday becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-252015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
254 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1900. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1100. rain showers likely
                    after 1900.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.24 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2200. Areas of fog after 0500.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1300-1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.31 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 0900.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4400-4900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-252015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
254 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1100 until 1400.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good) increasing to 900 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.39 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0300, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2200. Areas of fog after 0500
                    until 0600.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.27 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph until midday
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-252015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
254 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1100.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.60 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2100, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0100, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0600, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2200. chance of rain
                    showers until 2300.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.30 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph until midday
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Areas
of fog overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 8 to 13 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.


$$


wdm



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