Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 221955
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
355 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

...HEADLINE...

.DISCUSSION...THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL START OUT NICE ON SATURDAY
WITH SUNSHINE AND COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON SUNDAY...MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER. BETTER
CHANCES OF RAIN MOVE INTO SOUTHERN LOWER BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY.

THE WET PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO MID WEEK...BEFORE DRYING
OUT FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.  TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
WARM...MAINLY IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S.


MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
355 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1000-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4200-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND AROUND 71 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 9
                    DEGREES WARMER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7300-7800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5000-5500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-230815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
355 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
355 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2500-3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4000-4500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8300-8800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2900-3400 FT AGL
                    DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5000-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6600-7100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
355 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500-8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
355 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.



$$



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