Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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921
ACUS48 KWNS 140843
SWOD48
SPC AC 140842

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

VALID 171200Z - 221200Z

...DISCUSSION...
OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN LOW THROUGH MOST IF NOT ALL
OF THE DAY 4-8 PERIOD. UPPER TROUGH WILL DOMINATE THE ERN STATES
THROUGH DAY 4 WITH OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN GULF. FOR
DAYS 5-6 PATTERN TRANSITIONS TO A MORE PROGRESSIVE REGIME WITH A
STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE CNTRL PLAINS
AND OH VALLEY DAY 6 /FRIDAY/. MOISTURE RETURN IN ADVANCE OF THIS
FEATURE WILL BE LIMITED AND LIKELY INSUFFICIENT FOR A SUBSTANTIAL
RISK OF SEVERE STORMS. BEYOND DAY 6 MODELS BECOME INCREASINGLY
DISPERSIVE WITH LOW PREDICTABILITY.

..DIAL.. 02/14/2016



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