Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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413
ACUS02 KWNS 081718
SWODY2
SPC AC 081717

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CST MON FEB 08 2016

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES ON
TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

...SYNOPSIS...
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL EXIST OVER THE CONUS
THROUGH TUESDAY...HIGHLIGHTED BY A WESTERN STATES UPPER RIDGE WITH A
TROUGH IN THE EAST. THE PATTERN-ASSOCIATED PREVALENCE OF COLD/STABLE
CONDITIONS WILL LARGELY PRECLUDE A RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON
TUESDAY.

...MID-ATLANTIC STATES/DELMARVA...
DIURNAL HEATING IN CONJUNCTION WITH STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
IN PROXIMITY TO THE EASTWARD-SHIFTING MID-LEVEL COLD POCKET COULD
RESULT IN A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO TUESDAY. THIS WOULD MAINLY BE
ACROSS DE AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF VA/MD. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL
SCENARIO CURRENTLY APPEARS TOO MARGINAL/SPECULATIVE TO WARRANT A
10-PERCENT THUNDERSTORM AREA.

..GUYER.. 02/08/2016

$$



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