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000
FXUS61 KCAR 261604
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
1204 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will cross the region today into Saturday then
slowly exit to the east later Saturday into Sunday. A warm front
will cross the region Sunday. A cold front will cross the
region later Sunday into Monday. Low pressure will approach from
the west Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1205PM Update...Fair weather cumulus have started to develop in
the NW and will continue to spread across the north. No major
changes to the forecast for this update.

Previous Discussion...
Surface high pressure will cross the region today through
tonight. Aloft, an upper trof will exit across the Maritimes
today with ridging then building toward the region tonight.
Across northern areas, expect mostly sunny skies this morning
then mostly/partly sunny this afternoon with limited diurnal
cloud development. Across Downeast areas, expect mostly sunny
skies today. Expect mostly clear skies across the entire
forecast area tonight. High temperatures today will range from
the upper 40s to around 50 north, to the lower to mid 50s
Downeast. An afternoon sea breeze will likely develop along the
Downeast coast. Low temperatures tonight will range from the
lower to mid 20s north, to the mid 20s to around 30 Downeast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Mid/upper level ridging builds in on Saturday as surface high shifts
east. Dry air through the column sets the stage for another mainly
sunny day, except for some increasing high level cloudiness by
afternoon. Highs Saturday afternoon will climb into the lower 60s
for most areas, except onshore flow will keep things cooler for
Downeast, especially the coast. Weak warm front approaches
Saturday night with increasing mid/high level cloudiness,
although it should remain mainly dry Saturday night. Lows
Saturday night will fall into the mid to upper 30s. Models are
in somewhat better agreement by Sunday that an approaching
weakening short wave/cold front will bring a few showers into
far northern portions of the region during Sunday afternoon.
Afternoon highs on Sunday will top out in the lower 60s for most
areas, except cooler along the coast.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A weak cold front will cross the region Sunday night, with a
lingering evening shower possible, mainly for northern and eastern
portions of the area. Surface high pressure over Quebec province
will briefly ridge across northern Maine later Sunday night into
Monday, with dry conditions. Low pressure will track to the north of
the Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday. Moisture will begin to
increase along a frontal boundary to our west later Monday night and
Tuesday. This will bring the chance for showers Tuesday and Tuesday
night. Looks like upper ridge may build back by mid week with a
possible trend toward drier conditions. Another weak system could
bring more showers by late next week. Afternoon highs are expected
to be a bit above normal Monday, near to a bit below normal Tuesday
and Wednesday, and then above by Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR conditions expected today through tonight.
Northwest/north winds around 10 knots today, except becoming
onshore along the Downeast coast this afternoon. Light and
variable winds tonight.

SHORT TERM:

Saturday and Saturday night...VFR.

Sunday-Sunday night...MVFR/VFR. Scattered showers possible Aroostook
terminals.

Monday and Monday night...VFR. N wind G15-20 kt possible Monday.

Tuesday...MVFR. Scattered showers.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels today
through tonight.

SHORT TERM: Winds/seas are expected to be belows SCA levels
through the period.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$


Near Term...LaFlash/Norcross
Short Term...TWD
Long Term...TWD
Aviation...LaFlash/Norcross/TWD
Marine...LaFlash/Norcross/TWD